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CORDIS - Résultats de la recherche de l’UE
CORDIS

Linking Climate Change, Habitability and Social Tipping Points: Scenarios for Climate Migration

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Methodological report on using model-based scenarios to inform policy options (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report synthesising findings of initial stakeholder dialogues to inform the model development as well as the the modelling results to feed into subsequent stakeholder dialogues

Report on key types of migration impacts and their effects on SES and migration decision making (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on the analysis of quantitative and qualitative data to identify the mechanisms through which migration impacts on SES and migration decisions.

Quantitative coefficients on the sensitivity of tipping points (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report analysing the results of a predictive model on the association of coefficients on the sensitivity of tipping points in migration behaviour under climate change.

Final report on stakeholder engagement (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on stakeholder engagement within the project including lessons learnt, to be used by the academic community at large and other relevant experts.

Policy Brief on legal and policy options (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Policy brief identifying and testing legal/policy options and best practices on global climate-migration challenges from a European perspective.

Report /Policy brief on micro- and meso-level coping strategies and adaptation solutions (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

The report will explore linkages to migration, using the context of the previously identified trends, with an emphasis on cross-cutting issues and response strategies. The target audience of this report/policy brief will include policy makers and stakeholders involved in designing adaptation measures.

Input towards an empirically calibrated predictive model (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on predictive models, created by combining D.1.3 with, for example, Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSP).

Interdependency diagram between climate change, migration and other relevant variables (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on cocreated interdependency diagram of the interactions between climate change migration and other relevant variables

Conceptual model of linkages between climate change, tipping points, migration and displacement (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on a conceptual model, which will integrate a range of tipping points that impact on a) climate adaptation in situ and migration; b) differential effects of sudden- and/or slow-onset climate hazards on migration; c) group migration dynamics; and d) community and individual level assets.

Reports on gendered causes and impacts of migration (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Reports analysing the type, extent, and dimensions of gendered causes and impacts of migration in the context of environmental change. These reports will include a detailed description of the data collection processes.

Case Study Methods & Participation Handbook (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

This Guidance note will outline WP4s research by applying the projects conceptual and methodological framework to local level strategies and by providing a stepbystep guide to WP4s approach

Mapping of relevant initiatives and projects at European and international level (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on an initial mapping of other relevant initiatives and projects at the European and international level (e.g. related project funded under SC5 (climate impacts), SC6 (migration)).

Report on factors influencing the probability of migration (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report identifying the key factors that influence the probability of migration in the study areas.

List of strategic recommendations to manage future climate-migration challenges (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report listing robust strategic policy recommendations co-created through multi-stakeholder dialogues, informing key European policies (e.g. European Agenda on Migration), addressed to an audience of practitioners and policymakers from Europe (and partner countries).

Scenarios of future disaster-induced internal displacement under climate change (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

The report will analyse the scenarios of future disaster-induced internal displacement under climate change, which will also include estimations of future displacement risk associated with (1) rapid-onset hazards and (2) slow-onset hazards.

Report on a Feminist Political Ecology of Migration (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on the analytical framework to understand how gender and social inequity shape the multi-scalar causes and effects of climate change on migration.

Indicators of climate hazards and potential consequences on key sectors in case study sites/regions (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on the design of climateimpacts indicators which will quantify climaterelated hazards and potential consequences on key sectors eg agriculture water resources public health in combination with socioeconomic and demographic variables

Scenarios of future community-specific migration in Senegal under climate change (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on the results of quantitative scenarios of future community-specific migration flows under climate change. These scenarios will be based on model of community-specific internal and subregional migrations in small-scale coastal fishing communities of Dakar (Senegal).

Report on the contribution of climate v. other causes of migration and on differences between perceived causes and consequences of migration (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Thematic reports on the contribution of climate v. other causes of migration and on differences between perceived causes and consequences of migration.

Report on perception v. modelled/RS climate indicators (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report estimating to what extent climate change has already had an effect on migration aspirations and/or decisions, and how much perceptions are in line with observations and model indicators.

Report on advocacy tools to disseminate the key findings of the project (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report including the advocacy tools produced for the different audiences, including infographics and policy briefs, to create a dialogue on how climate impacts, policies and perceptions interact with each other.

Scenarios of future international migration under climate change (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on the results of quantitative scenarios of future migration flows under climate change and socio-economic change. These scenarios will be based on an empirically calibrated gravity model and will use the latest available estimates of historical bilateral migration.

Modeling results on past climate effects on migration in West Africa (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

The report will contain geographically disaggregated analyses taking localities as units of observation and will estimate the incidence of migration in a locality as a function of weather shocks and environmental conditions

Report for expert audiences and policymakers (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report summarizing the results of WP7, including the analysis of scenario narratives with workshop participants, directed at expert audiences and policymakers.

Database of perceived cause-effect relations in migration aspirations/decisions (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Harmonized database of the perceived causes and consequences of migration for data collected in all primary locations.

Coded and harmonized data on migration impacts (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Coded and partly quantified data from the qualitative interviews and PRA modules (code database, key statistics, descriptive report) and harmonized data from the respective modules of the longitudinal survey.

Database of coping strategies and adaptation solutions (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Harmonized database of micro- and meso- level coping strategies and adaptation solutions.

Practitioner's Tool on Migration for Adaptation (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

This deliverable will expand the practitioner's tool on Migration for Adaptation - from the TransRe project - by integrating a gender perspective within local development contexts.

Quantitative longitudinal survey instrument (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

This deliverable consists of a longitudinal survey instrument to collect a broad array of demographic, socioeconomic, environmental information on individuals, households, and communities.

Aid to Decision tool for Dakar artisanal fishermen (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

An Aid to Decision tool, based on marine real-time measurement and model forecast, which will allow local communities to design and implement adequate adaptions options.

Series of webinars on challenges and opportunities to address climate-migration challenges (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Series of webinars synthesizing the coherence and robustness of legal and policy options, aimed at audiences in different regions.

Policy Brief on the effectiveness of different gender-sensitive policy measures (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Policy brief on gender-sensitive policy recommendations to lessen the adverse impacts of environmental migration on women and girls.

Short animation video directed at non-expert audiences presenting the scenario narratives (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Short animation video summarising the scenario narratives developed in WP7, directed at non-expert audiences.

Publications

Livestock exposure to future cumulated climate-related stressors in West Africa (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Audrey Brouillet, Benjamin Sultan
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Numéro 13, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-22544-y

The effects of environmental and non-environmental shocks on livelihoods and migration in Tanzania (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Julia M. Blocher, Roman Hoffmann, Helga Weisz
Publié dans: Population and Environment, Numéro 46, 2024, ISSN 0199-0039
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11111-024-00449-4

More people too poor to move: divergent effects of climate change on global migration patterns (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Albano Rikani, Christian Otto, Anders Levermann, Jacob Schewe
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 18, 2023, Page(s) 024006, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca6fe

Climate change and international migration: Exploring the macroeconomic channel (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Albano Rikani, Katja Frieler, Jacob Schewe
Publié dans: PLOS ONE, Numéro 17, 2022, Page(s) e0276764, ISSN 1932-6203
Éditeur: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276764

Theorizing (im)mobility in the face of environmental change (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Caroline Zickgraf
Publié dans: Regional Environmental Change, Numéro 21, 2021, ISSN 1436-3798
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-021-01839-2

Evaluation and extension of the radiation model for internal migration (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Lucas Kluge; Jacob Schewe
Publié dans: Physical Review E, Numéro 24700053, 2021, ISSN 2470-0053
Éditeur: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.104.054311

Evaluation of river flood extent simulated with multiple global hydrological models and climate forcings (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Benedikt Mester, Sven Norman Willner, Katja Frieler, Jacob Schewe
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 16, 2021, Page(s) 094010, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac188d

Gravity models do not explain, and cannot predict, international migration dynamics (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Robert M. Beyer, Jacob Schewe, Hermann Lotze-Campen
Publié dans: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Numéro 9, 2022, ISSN 2662-9992
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1057/s41599-022-01067-x

Towards a feminist political ecology of migration in a changing climate (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Sara Vigil
Publié dans: Geoforum, Numéro 155, 2024, Page(s) 104076, ISSN 0016-7185
Éditeur: Pergamon Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.geoforum.2024.104076

Linking climate change, environmental degradation, and migration: An update after 10 years (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Etienne Piguet
Publié dans: WIREs Climate Change, Numéro 13, 2023, ISSN 1757-7780
Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.746

Migration as Adaptation? (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Kira Vinke, Jonas Bergmann, Julia Blocher, Himani Upadhyay, Roman Hoffmann
Publié dans: Migration Studies, Numéro 8, 2022, Page(s) 626-634, ISSN 2049-5838
Éditeur: Oxford Academics
DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnaa029

FisherMob : Un modèle bioéconomique de la mobilité des pêcheurs

Auteurs: Timothée Brochier, Alassane Bah
Publié dans: 2021
Éditeur: HAL

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