Skip to main content
Aller à la page d’accueil de la Commission européenne (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)
français français
CORDIS - Résultats de la recherche de l’UE
CORDIS

Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Addition of plug-in system (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D4.4 will realize a plug-in mechanism in the FLARECAST framework that will allow users in research and industry to expand and exploit the available prediction services (this plug-in system is a major advancement with respect to the HESPE framework).

Addition of new framework functionality (external data ingestion, user management, validation) (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D4.3 will add three more modular components to FLARECAST framework: a module for ingesting data from external sources, a module for user management and a module for running algorithms that validate FLARECAST prediction performances.

Catalogued active region property ingestion algorithm and respective flare association (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D2.2 will provide software capable of reading active region properties from a variety of existing catalogues, formatting them and storing them in the FLARECAST database. In addition, it will provide software that associates flares with specific active region property measurements over differing time windows.

Finalised framework (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D4.5 will provide the final release of the FLARECAST processing framework, equipped with all functionalities and plug-in system.

Data monitoring software (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D5.3 will provide software capable of determining data quality and continuity.

Software framework updated from HESPE functionality (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D4.1 will provide the FLARECAST processing framework including the databases, data flows and processing components. Some components will rely on HESPE platform but a general schema redesign will be necessary.

Report on next generation methods for active region property extraction and flare prediction (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Report on the tests and validation of next generation algorithms aiming at extracting, from standard observations of active regions, yet unexplored quantities and properties that will improve existing flare prediction scores.

Report on findings and suggestions for future efforts in solar eruption prediction (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Redact summary on the state-of-the-art of research about the trigger of solar eruptions and roadmap for advanced predictions.

Improved requirements for flare association and forecasting time windows and latency (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Determine optimal forecasting time windows and latency time depending on flare properties.

Finalised flare prediction algorithms (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D3.5 will provide a validated and optimized release for each one of the flare prediction algorithms realized in the previous deliverables.

Forecast verification software (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D5.1 will provide software capable of calculating numerous forecast verification metrics to enable appropriate comparison of forecast performance between FLARECAST prediction algorithms and also against external prediction methods.

Finalised active region property extraction algorithms, metadata, documentation (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D2.4 will provide a validated and optimized release of the earlier first release software with updated descriptive documentation.

Plan for the exploitation and dissemination of the results (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

A plan for the dissemination and exploitation of project results will be set up listing activities to be carried out during and beyond the duration of the project.

Forecast verification error assessment software (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D5.2 will provide software capable of calculating error/uncertainty estimates on the earlier delivered FLARECAST forecast verification metrics.

Press and media release (year 2) (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

At the end of month 24, there will be a press and media release of the project in its maturity phase, including also an outlook about the new directions appearing to be made possible as a result of the project. Emphasis of the release will be placed on the project's achievements so far and the ones anticipated by the project's expiration.

Finalised project web site (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Revised site, following feedback, suggestion and recommendations by the community and the Steering Committee.

Finalized outreach material and web site (year 3) (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Based on feedback from project partners involved in public outreach and evaluation from online communication with the public, educational material will be updated and new material will be included (movies). The content of the EPO area of the project’s web site will be finalized, making sure that all relevant content be translated into the languages of the project partners. All materials will remain accessible to the public and to future project teams beyond the duration of the project.

Initial education and public outreach web site content (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Establishment of a dedicated area for EPO in the project's web site with initial heritage material adapted for FLARECAST from previous projects (e.g., HESPE). Material will then be generated for FLARECST, following the FLARECAST guidelines. Online public comments will be facilitated and collected/evaluated by the Project Management Board in regular intervals.

Press and media release (year 3) (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

A third and final press and media release will be organized by the project's expiration. The theme of the release will be the project's achievements and projections for the future. The contents of the release will have the approval of both the Project Management Board and the project's Steering Committee.

Organization of second Stakeholders Workshop (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

A second workshop will be presented by the project's expiration. Its objectives will be to (1) solidify the impact of the project to government decisions on space weather and (2) investigate, on a practical basis, the possibilities for further industrial involvement to the project's final products and the anticipated future possibilities. The underlying theme will be to take best advantage of the project's existence and performance.

Project web site established (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Establishment of the main project web site, with public and password-protected (member) areas for exchange of documents and project-related communication.

Education and public outreach material (year 1) (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Supporting and following the press release for year 1 of the project, a major update of the project's EPO material will be performed. Materials will be introduced to, and feedback sought from, the project partners at the annual consortium meeting. They will be made available to the public, teachers, science communicators and project partners involved in EPO through the EPO area of the project’s web site. In the case of physical hands-on materials and give away objects, project partners will have the opportunity to order a set for their own institution.

Press and media release (year 1) (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

At the end of month 12, there will be a press and media release on the progress and initial performance of the project. The release will have the approval of the Project Management Board.

Organization of first Stakeholders Workshop (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

This will be the project's first effort to establish itself through its achievements in its maturity phase to industry and government, or governmental organizations. The workshop will include scientific achievements and their industrial implications, as well as the results of the raise of awareness of the public via EPO, that will be directed toward officials and government representatives. The spirit of the workshop will be the project's maturity phase and what it brings to stakeholders, with projections for the future.

Updated prediction database schema (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D4.6 will provide the final release of the FLARECAST prediction database schema for the access to products realized by the prediction algorithms.

Initial prediction database schema (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

D4.2 will provide the first, prototypal version of the database containing the output of the processing step realized by the prediction algorithms.

Initial data management plan (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Tentative planning for data management, including storage and processing (i.e., data mining).

Publications

A Hybrid Supervised/Unsupervised Machine Learning Approach to Solar Flare Prediction (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Federico Benvenuto, Michele Piana, Cristina Campi, Anna Maria Massone
Publié dans: The Astrophysical Journal, Numéro 853/1, 2018, Page(s) 90, ISSN 1538-4357
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/aaa23c

Flaring Rates and the Evolution of Sunspot Group McIntosh Classifications (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Aoife E. McCloskey, Peter T. Gallagher, D. Shaun Bloomfield
Publié dans: Solar Physics, Numéro 291/6, 2016, Page(s) 1711-1738, ISSN 0038-0938
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11207-016-0933-y

Non-neutralized Electric Currents in Solar Active Regions and Flare Productivity (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Ioannis Kontogiannis, Manolis K. Georgoulis, Sung-Hong Park, Jordan A. Guerra
Publié dans: Solar Physics, Numéro 292/11, 2017, ISSN 0038-0938
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11207-017-1185-1

A COMPARISON OF FLARE FORECASTING METHODS. I. RESULTS FROM THE “ALL-CLEAR” WORKSHOP (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: G. Barnes, K. D. Leka, C. J. Schrijver, T. Colak, R. Qahwaji, O. W. Ashamari, Y. Yuan, J. Zhang, R. T. J. McAteer, D. S. Bloomfield, P. A. Higgins, P. T. Gallagher, D. A. Falconer, M. K. Georgoulis, M. S. Wheatland, C. Balch, T. Dunn, E. L. Wagner
Publié dans: The Astrophysical Journal, Numéro 829/2, 2016, Page(s) 89, ISSN 1538-4357
Éditeur: Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.3847/0004-637X/829/2/89

Relative magnetic helicity as a diagnostic of solar eruptivity (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: E. Pariat, J. E. Leake, G. Valori, M. G. Linton, F. P. Zuccarello, K. Dalmasse
Publié dans: Astronomy & Astrophysics, Numéro 601, 2017, Page(s) A125, ISSN 0004-6361
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201630043

Testing predictors of eruptivity using parametric flux emergence simulations (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Chloé Guennou, Etienne Pariat, James E. Leake, Nicole Vilmer
Publié dans: Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, Numéro 7, 2017, Page(s) A17, ISSN 2115-7251
Éditeur: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2017015

Flare forecasting at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: S. A. Murray, S. Bingham, M. Sharpe, D. R. Jackson
Publié dans: Space Weather, Numéro 15/4, 2017, Page(s) 577-588, ISSN 1542-7390
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016SW001579

Active Region Photospheric Magnetic Properties Derived from Line-of-Sight and Radial Fields (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: J. A. Guerra, S.-H. Park, P. T. Gallagher, I. Kontogiannis, M. K. Georgoulis, D. S. Bloomfield
Publié dans: Solar Physics, Numéro 293/1, 2018, ISSN 0038-0938
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11207-017-1231-z

Forecasting Solar Flares Using Magnetogram-based Predictors and Machine Learning (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: Kostas Florios, Ioannis Kontogiannis, Sung-Hong Park, Jordan A. Guerra, Federico Benvenuto, D. Shaun Bloomfield, Manolis K. Georgoulis
Publié dans: Solar Physics, Numéro 293/2, 2018, ISSN 0038-0938
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11207-018-1250-4

Verification of Space Weather Forecasts Issued by the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre (s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)

Auteurs: M. A. Sharpe, S. A. Murray
Publié dans: Space Weather, Numéro 15/10, 2017, Page(s) 1383-1395, ISSN 1542-7390
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017SW001683

Machine Learning for Solar Flare Forecasting

Auteurs: Anna Maria Massone, Michele Piana & the FLARECAST Consortium
Publié dans: 2018
Éditeur: Elsevier

Recherche de données OpenAIRE...

Une erreur s’est produite lors de la recherche de données OpenAIRE

Aucun résultat disponible

Mon livret 0 0