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CORDIS - Resultados de investigaciones de la UE
CORDIS

European Climate Prediction system

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Portfolio of suitable post-processed high-impact weather events for the present day and near future (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Portfolio of suitable postprocessed highimpact weather events for the present day and near future

Concepts for prototype products and business and adaptation strategies making use of the EUCP system (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report about concepts for prototype products and business and adaptation strategies making use of the EUCP system

Development of methods to merge probabilistic forecasts based on global initialised and non-initialised predictions to provide a seamless prediction system (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Development of methods to merge probabilistic forecasts based on global initialised and noninitialised predictions to provide a seamless prediction system

Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Merging methods based on, and added value of, the high-resolution regional climate simulations (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on merging methods based on and added value of the highresolution regional climate simulations

Evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on the evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections

Potential future case studies and events of interest (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable will include a short description of the case studies used in WP4 the sectors concerned data and methods used and the success or difficulties encountered It will also use the experience from the work package to propose a set of future case studies or events to be considered in future projects together with a selection strategy based on discussions that occurred with stakeholders or from experience These cases will consider the sectors where WP4 has worked on but also other potential sectors This deliverable could therefore feed the thinking about the legacy of EUCP

Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions in climate change response and adaptation

Outlook of future hazards (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Production of uncertainty quantifications/PDFs, including separation into different components (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Production of uncertainty quantificationsPDFs including separation into different components natural variability model uncertainty forcing uncertainty

Recommendations for the development of a new generation of climate forecast systems (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions short technical briefing report

Identification of optimal subset of future climate realisations and provision of event set of present and future extreme events (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Set of plausible scenarios optimised for the climate around 2050 and optimised for the transient period that are set in the context of the UQsPDFs from Deliverable D23 In addition selection of a set of short extreme weather episodes in present and future climate

Simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level

Fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events for the simulation of high impact events (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on the fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events

Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Feedback and EUCP-design decisions (intermediate) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Intermediate collection of reports about feedback and EUCPdesign decisions

Evaluation of the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Evaluation report on the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs

Activities in research communities related to climate prediction (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Feedback and EUCP-design decisions (final) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Final collection of reports about feedback and design decisions and joint activities between research communities

Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions (short technical briefing report) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions short technical briefing report

Merging method developed for storylines, and the production of combined time-series and events sets (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on merging method developed for storylines and the production of combined timeseries and events sets generated from a combination of initialised and noninitialised model simulations with guidance on their use

Fully assessed multi-model based ensemble of simulations of high impact weather events for the historical and near future period (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Fully assessed multimodel based ensemble of simulations of high impact weather events for the historical and near future periods approximately 1 40 years

Policy briefings - ready for dissemination (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Policy briefings ready for dissemination

Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions (glossy non-technical policy card)) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions glossy nontechnical policy card

Usability of EUCP service products for end users (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
End user requirements for the EUCP (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on end user requirements for the EUCP including selection of indicators

Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions (in collaboration with WMO)

Construction of probability forecasts for the near term horizon (up to 10 years) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Construction of probability forecasts for the near term horizon up to 10 years from multiple sources of information for a number of the most commonly used variables and tailored to specific applications

Recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects

Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)
Quality checker for EUCP-data to check the CDS-compliance (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Quality checker for EUCP-data to check the CDS-compliance (meta-data and consistency of EUCP data itself)

Training about EUCP data services infrastructure and use (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Training aimed at scientists in work packages and partner projects. Training documents, recordings and minutes will be made available on website

Workshop about EUCP end user data services infrastructure for climate service providers (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Workshop about EUCP end user data services infrastructure for climate service providers. Training documents, recordings and minutes of the training produced and made publicly available on website

Publicaciones

Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Tramblay, Y., et al.
Publicado en: Earth Science Reviews, Edición 210, 2020, Página(s) 103348, ISSN 0012-8252
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103348

Irrigation of biomass plantations may globally increase water stress more than climate change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Fabian Stenzel; Peter Greve; Wolfgang Lucht; Wolfgang Lucht; Sylvia Tramberend; Yoshihide Wada; Dieter Gerten; Dieter Gerten
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 2, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-21640-3

AMOC and summer sea ice as key drivers of the spread in mid-holocene winter temperature patterns over Europe in PMIP3 models (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Gainusa-Bogdan A, Swingedouw D, Yiou P, et al
Publicado en: Global and Planetary Change, Edición 184, 2020, ISSN 0921-8181
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.103055

An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Anna Louise Merrifield, Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Iselin Medhaug, Reto Knutti
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 11/3, 2020, Página(s) 807-834, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-807-2020

Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lucas‐Picher, P., Argüeso, D., Brisson, E., Tramblay, Y., Berg, P., Lemonsu, A., Kotlarski, S., Caillaud, C.
Publicado en: WIREs Climate Change, Edición 12(6), 2021, Página(s) e731, ISSN 1757-7799
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society and the Royal Geographical Society
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.731

Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Quentin Fumière, Michel Déqué, Olivier Nuissier, Samuel Somot, Antoinette Alias, Cécile Caillaud, Olivier Laurantin, Yann Seity
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 55/1-2, 2020, Página(s) 77-91, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04898-8

Precipitation From Persistent Extremes is Increasing in Most Regions and Globally (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Du, Haibo; Alexander, Lisa V.; Donat, Markus G.; Lippmann, Tanya; Srivastava, Arvind; Salinger, Jim; Kruger, Andries; Choi, Gwangyong; He, Hong S.; Fujibe, Fumiaki; Rusticucci, Matilde; Nandintsetseg, Banzragch; Manzanas, Rodrigo; Rehman, Shafiqur; Abbas, Farhat; Zhai, Panmao; Yabi, Ibouraïma; Stambaugh, Michael C.; Wang, Shengzhong; Batbold, Altangerel; Oliveira, Priscilla Teles; Adrees, Muhamma
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 46, 2019, Página(s) 6041-6049, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl081898

The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, Part I: Evaluation of precipitation (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Nikolina Ban; Cécile Caillaud; Erika Coppola; Emanuela Pichelli; Stefan Sobolowski; Marianna Adinolfi; Bodo Ahrens; Antoinette Alias; Ivonne Anders; Sophie Bastin; Danijel Belušić; Ségolène Berthou; Erwan Brisson; Rita M. Cardoso; Steven Chan; Ole Bøssing Christensen; Jesús Fernández; Lluis Fita; Thomas Frisius; Goran Gašparac; Filippo Giorgi; Klaus Goergen; Jan Erik Haugen; Øivind Hodne
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 57, 2021, Página(s) 275-302, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-22378

Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Scaife AA, Camp J, Comer R, et al (2019). Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? Atmos Sci Lett 20. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.922
Publicado en: Atmospheric Science Letters, Edición 20, 2019, ISSN 1530-261X
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/asl.922

How Reliable Are Decadal Climate Predictions of Near-Surface Air Temperature? (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Verónica Torralba, Simon Wild
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 34/2, 2021, Página(s) 697-713, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0138.1

Western boundary circulation and coastal sea-level variability in Northern Hemisphere oceans (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Samuel Tiéfolo Diabaté; Didier Swingedouw; J. J. M. Hirschi; Aurelie Duchez; Philip Leadbitter; Ivan D. Haigh; Gerard McCarthy
Publicado en: Ocean Science, Edición 18120792, 2021, Página(s) 1449-1471, ISSN 1812-0792
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-1449-2021

Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Menary MB, Mignot J, Robson J
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 16, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: A Multimodel View from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Paolo Ruggieri, Alessio Bellucci, Dario Nicolí, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Silvio Gualdi, Christophe Cassou, Fred Castruccio, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Paolo Davini, Nick Dunstone, Rosemary Eade, Guillaume Gastineau, Ben Harvey, Leon Hermanson, Saïd Qasmi, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Emilia Sanchez-Gomez, Doug Smith, Simon Wild, Matteo Zampieri
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 34/1, 2021, Página(s) 347-360, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0981.1

Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Seungmok Paik; Seung-Ki Min; Seung-Ki Min; Xuebin Zhang; Markus G. Donat; Andrew D. King; Qiaohong Sun
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 47, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086875

Estimating dune erosion at the regional scale using a meta-model based on Neural Networks (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Antolinez, J.A.A.A. & Ranasinghe, R.
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (EGU), 2022, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-2022-106

Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Greve P, Kahil T, Mochizuki J, Schinko T, Satoh Y, Burek P, Fischer G, Tramberend S, Burtscher R, Langan S, Wada Y
Publicado en: Nature Sustainability, Edición 1, 2018, Página(s) 486-494, ISSN 2398-9629
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-018-0134-9

Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Hernandez A, Martin-Puertas C, Moffa-Sanchez P, et al
Publicado en: Earth Science Reviews, Edición 209, 2020, ISSN 0012-8252
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103286

The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: J. Cos; F. Doblas-Reyes; F. Doblas-Reyes; M. Jury; M. Jury; R. Marcos; P.-A. Bretonnière; M. Samsó
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 13, 2022, Página(s) 321-340, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-321-2022

A Clustering Approach for Predicting Dune Morphodynamic Response to Storms Using Typological Coastal Profiles: A Case Study at the Dutch Coast (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Antolinez, J.A.A.A., Ranasinghe, R.
Publicado en: Frontiers in Marine Science, Edición 8, 2021, Página(s) 1-20, ISSN 2296-7745
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.747754

An interdecadal shift of the extratropical ENSO teleconnection during boreal summer (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: O'Reilly, C., Woollings, T., Zanna, L. & Weisheimer, A.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 46, 2019, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084079

North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L. F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W. A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. P
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 583/7818, 2020, Página(s) 796-800, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Pichelli, E., Coppola, E., Sobolowski, S., Ban, N., Giorgi, F., Stocchi, P., Alias, A., Belušić, D., Berthou, S., Caillaud, C., Chan, S., Christensen, O. B., Dobler, A., de Vries, H., Goergen, K., Keuler, K., Lenderink, G., Lorenz, T., Panitz, H.-J., Schär, C., Pedro Soares, M. M., Truhetz, H., Vergara-Temprado, J., Cardoso, R. M., Kendon, E. J. & Mishra, A. N.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 56, 2021, Página(s) 3581-3602, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05657-4

The blessing of dimensionality for the analysis of climate data (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Christiansen, B.
Publicado en: Non-linear processes in Geophysics, Edición 28, 2021, Página(s) 409-422, ISSN 1023-5809
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.5194/npg-28-409-2021

Assessment of a full-field initialised decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 versio of EC-Earth (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bilbao, R., S. Wild, P. Ortega, J. Acosta-Navarro, T. Arsouze, P.-A. Bretonnière, L.-P. Caron, M. Castrillo, R. Cruz-García, I. Cvijanovic, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Donat, E. Dutra, P. Echevarría, A.-C. Ho, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, E. Moreno-Chamarro, N. Pérez-Zanon, A. Ramos, Y. Ruprich-Robert, V. Sicardi, E. Tourigny and J. Vegas-Regidor
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 12, 2019, Página(s) 173-196, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-66

Benefits of sea ice initialization for the interannual-to-decadal climate prediction skill in the Arctic in EC-Earth3 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Tian T, Yang S, Karami MP, et al
Publicado en: Geoscience Model Development, Edición 14, 2021, Página(s) 4283-4305, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-4283-2021

Klotzbach P, Blake E, Camp J, et al (2019). Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecasting. Trop CYCLONE Res Rev 8:134–149. https://doi.org/10.6057/2019TCRR03.03 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Klotzbach P, Blake E, Camp J, et al
Publicado en: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Edición 8, 2019, Página(s) 134-149, ISSN 2589-3025
Editor: KeAi Elsevier
DOI: 10.6057/2019tcrr03.03

Self-Organizing Maps Identify Windows of Opportunity for Seasonal European Summer Predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Julianna Carvalho-Oliveira; Leonard F. Borchert; Eduardo Zorita; Johanna Baehr
Publicado en: Frontiers in Climate, Edición 4, 2022, ISSN 2624-9553
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.844634

Physical storylines of future European drought events like 2018 based on ensemble climate modelling (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Karin van der Wiel; Geert Lenderink; Hylke de Vries
Publicado en: Weather and climate extremes, Edición 33, 2021, ISSN 2212-0947
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-1823

Statistical adjustment, calibration and downscaling of seasonal forecasts: a case-study for Southeast Asia (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Manzanas, R.; Gutiérrez, J. M.; Bhend, J.; Hemri, S.; Doblas-Reyes, F. J.; Penabad, E.; Brookshaw, A.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 54, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05145-1

Sandy coastlines under threat of erosion (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Theocharis A. Plomaritis, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Arjen Luijendijk, Luc Feyen
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 10/3, 2020, Página(s) 260-263, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0697-0

Improved Decadal Predictions of North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre SST in CMIP6 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Leonard Borchert; Matthew Menary; Didier Swingedouw; Giovanni Sgubin; Leon Hermanson; Juliette Mignot
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 48 (3), 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091307

Modelling Mediterranean heavy precipitation events at climate scale: an object-oriented evaluation of the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Caillaud C., Somot S., Alias A., Bernard-Bouissières I., Fumière Q., Laurantin O., Seity Y., Ducrocq V.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 56, 2021, Página(s) 1717-1752, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05558-y

The Tuning Strategy of IPSL-CM6A-LR (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Mignot J, Hourdin F, Deshayes J, et al
Publicado en: Journal of Advances in Modelling Earth Systems (JAMES), 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002340

HCLIM38: a flexible regional climate model applicable for different climate zones from coarse to convection-permitting scales (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Danijel Belušić, Hylke de Vries, Andreas Dobler, Oskar Landgren, Petter Lind, David Lindstedt, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Juan Carlos Sánchez-Perrino, Erika Toivonen, Bert van Ulft, Fuxing Wang, Ulf Andrae, Yurii Batrak, Erik Kjellström, Geert Lenderink, Grigory Nikulin, Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen, Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino, Patrick Samuelsson, Erik van Meijgaard, Minchao Wu
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 13/3, 2020, Página(s) 1311-1333, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1311-2020

Cost-benefit analysis of coastal flood defence measures in the North Adriatic Sea (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Amadio, M., Essenfelder, A.H., Bagli, S., Marzi, S., Mazzoli, P., Mysiak, J., Roberts, S.
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (EGU), Edición 22, 2022, Página(s) 265-286, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-22-265-2022

Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Andrew P Schurer, Andrew P Ballinger, Andrew R Friedman, Gabriele C Hegerl
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 15/10, 2020, Página(s) 104026, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab83ab

Improved models, improved information? Exploring how climate change impacts pollen, influenza, and mold in Berlin and its surroundings (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Langendijk, G.S., Rechid D. and Jacob D.
Publicado en: Journal of Urban Climate, Edición 43, 2022, ISSN 2212-0955
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101159

Lehner F, Deser C, Maher N, et al (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. EARTH Syst Dyn 11:491–508. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lehner F, Deser C, Maher N, et al (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. EARTH Syst Dyn 11:491–508. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 11, 2020, Página(s) 491-508, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-491-2020

Correction to: Modelling Mediterranean heavy precipitation events at climate scale: an object-oriented evaluation of the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Caillaud C., Somot S., Alias A., Bernard-Bouissières I., Fumière Q., Laurantin O., Seity Y., Ducrocq V.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 58, 2022, Página(s) 625-630, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05887-6

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Louis-Philippe Caron, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 14/12, 2019, Página(s) 124014, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5043

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Kushnir, Yochanan; Scaife, Adam A.; Arritt, Raymond; Balsamo, Gianpaolo; Boer, George; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Hawkins, Ed; Kimoto, Masahide; Kolli, Rupa Kumar; Kumar, Arun; Matei, Daniela; Matthes, Katja; Müller, Wolfgang A.; O’Kane, Terence; Perlwitz, Judith; Power, Scott; Raphael, Marilyn; Shimpo, Akihiko; Smith, Doug; Tuma, Matthias; Wu, Bo
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 9 . pp. 94-101., Edición 4, 2019, Página(s) 94-101, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7

A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Almar R, Ranasinghe R, Bergsma EWJ, Athanasiou P., et al
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 12, 2021, Página(s) 1-9, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-24008-9

Constraining Projections Using Decadal Predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087900

Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 58, 2022, Página(s) 1311-1328, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y

Regional modeling of surface mass balance on the Cook Ice Cap, Kerguelen Islands (49ºS, 69ºE) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Verfaillie, D., Favier, V., Gallée, H., Fettweis, X., Agosta, C. & Jomelli, V.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 53, 2019, Página(s) 5909-5925, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04904-z

Benefits and added value of convection-permitting climate modeling over Fenno-Scandinavia (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Petter Lind, Danijel Belušić, Ole B. Christensen, Andreas Dobler, Erik Kjellström, Oskar Landgren, David Lindstedt, Dominic Matte, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Erika Toivonen, Fuxing Wang
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 55/7-8, 2020, Página(s) 1893-1912, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05359-3

Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Christopher O'Reilly; Daniel J. Befort; Antje Weisheimer; Antje Weisheimer; Tim Woollings; Andrew Ballinger; Gabriele C. Hegerl
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 2, 2021, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7

Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, Dario Nicolì, Fred Kucharski, Mansour Almazroui, Michael K. Tippett, Alessio Bellucci, Paolo Ruggieri, In-Sik Kang
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0109-1

The impact of the AMV on Eurasian summer hydrological cycle (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Dario Nicolì, Alessio Bellucci, Doroteaciro Iovino, Paolo Ruggieri, Silvio Gualdi
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71464-2

Multi-Model Forecast Quality Assessment of CMIP6 Decadal Predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Delgado-Torres C., Donat M.G., Gonzalez-Reviriego N.
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 35, 2022, Página(s) 4363-4382, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0811.1

Testing Methods of Pattern Extraction for Climate Data Using Synthetic Modes (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Fulton DJ, Hegerl GC
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 34, 2021, Página(s) 7645-7660, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0871.1

Robustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Ozturk T, Matte D, Christensen JH
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-06069-0

How to create an operational multi-model of seasonal forecasts? (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Stephan Hemri; Jonas Bhend; Mark A. Liniger; Rodrigo Manzanas; Stefan Siegert; David B. Stephenson; José M. Gutiérrez; Anca Brookshaw; Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 55, 2020, Página(s) 1141-1157, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05314-2

European daily precipitation according to EURO-CORDEX regional climate models (RCMs) and high-resolution global climate models (GCMs) from the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Marie-Estelle Demory, Ségolène Berthou, Jesús Fernández, Silje L. Sørland, Roman Brogli, Malcolm J. Roberts, Urs Beyerle, Jon Seddon, Rein Haarsma, Christoph Schär, Erasmo Buonomo, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo ̀, Rowan Fealy, Grigory Nikulin, Daniele Peano, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Robert Vautard
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 13/11, 2020, Página(s) 5485-5506, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5485-2020

Extreme precipitation on consecutive days occurs more often in a warming climate (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Haibo Du; Markus G. Donat; Shengwei Zong; Lisa V. Alexander; Rodrigo Manzanas; Andries Kruger; Gwangyong Choi; Jim Salinger; Hong S. He; Mai-He Li; Fumiaki Fujibe; Banzragch Nandintsetseg; Shafiqur Rehman; Farhat Abbas; Matilde Rusticucci; Arvind Srivastava; Panmao Zhai; Tanya Lippmann; Ibouraïma Yabi; Michael C. Stambaugh; Shengzhong Wang; Altangerel Batbold; Priscilla Teles de Oliveira; Muhamma
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, Página(s) 1130-1145, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-21-0140.1

Increased risk of near term global warming due to a recent AMOC weakening (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bonnet R, Swingedouw D, Gastineau G, et al
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 20411723, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-26370-0

Combination of decadal predictions and climate projections in time: challenges and potential solutions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Befort D.J., Brunner L, Borchert LF, et al
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 00948276, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl098568

Presentation and Evaluation of the IPSL-CM6A-LR Ensemble of Extended Historical Simulations (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bonnet R, Boucher O, Deshayes J, et al
Publicado en: Journal of Advanced Model Earth System (JAMES), Edición 13, 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002565

How decadal predictions entered the climate services arena: an example from the agriculture sector (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Solaraju-Murali, B., D. Bojovic, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, A. Nicodemou, M. Terrado, L.-P. Caron and F.J. Doblas-Reyes
Publicado en: Climate Services, Edición 27, 2022, Página(s) 100303, ISSN 2405-8807
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100303

AMOC Recent and Future Trends: A Crucial Role for Oceanic Resolution and Greenland Melting? (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Swingedouw D, Houssais M-N, Herbaut C, Blaizot A-C, Devilliers M and Deshayes J
Publicado en: Frontiers in Climate, Edición 4, 2022, Página(s) 838310, ISSN 2624-9553
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.838310

Spatial extent of precipitation events: when big is getting bigger (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Matte D, Christensen JH, Ozturk T
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 58, 2022, Página(s) 1861-1875, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05998-0

On the risk of abrupt changes in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in CMIP6 models. (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Didier Swingedouw; Adrien Bily; Claire Esquerdo; Leonard Borchert; Giovanni Sgubin; Juliette Mignot; Matthew Menary
Publicado en: Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, Edición 1504, 2021, Página(s) 187-201, ISSN 0077-8923
Editor: New York Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1111/nyas.14659

Potential and limitations of convection-permitting CNRM-AROME climate modelling in the French Alps (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Monteiro D, Caillaud C, Samacoïts R, et al
Publicado en: International Journal of Climatology, 2022, Página(s) 1-24, ISSN 0899-8418
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7637

The extremely warm summer 2018 in Sweden–set in a historical context (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Wilcke, R. A., Kjellström, E., Lin, C., Matei, D., & Moberg, A.
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 11 (4), 2020, Página(s) 1-22, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1107-2020

Contrasting lightning projection using the lightning potential index adapted in a convection-permitting regional climate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Brisson E, Blahak U, Lucas-Picher P, et al
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 57, 2021, Página(s) 2037-2051, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05791-z

Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Ruprich-Robert Y, Moreno-Chamarro E, Levine X, et al
Publicado en: npj Climate & Atmpspheric Science, Edición 4, 2021, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: MDPI
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Constraining decadal variability yields skillful projections of near-term climate change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Mahmood, R., M.G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and Y. Ruprich-Robert
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl094915

Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Gerald A. Meehl; Jadwiga H. Richter; Haiyan Teng; Antonietta Capotondi; Antonietta Capotondi; Kim M. Cobb; Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes; Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes; Markus G. Donat; Matthew H. England; John C. Fyfe; Weiqing Han; Hye-Mi Kim; Ben P. Kirtman; Yochanan Kushnir; Nicole S. Lovenduski; Nicole S. Lovenduski; Michael E. Mann; William J. Merryfield; Veronica Nieves; Kathy Pegion; Nan Rosenbloom
Publicado en: Nature reviews earth and environment, Edición 2, 2021, Página(s) 340-357, ISSN 2662-138X
Editor: Springer Nature Limited
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x

An Analysis of (Sub-)Hourly Rainfall in Convection-Permitting Climate Simulations Over Southern Sweden From a User’s Perspective (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Jonas Olsson; Yiheng Du; Dong An; Cintia Bertacchi Uvo; Johanna Sörensen; Erika Toivonen; Danijel Belušić; Andreas Dobler
Publicado en: Frontiers in Earth Science, Edición 9, 2021, ISSN 2296-6463
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2021.681312

Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: F. M. Selten, R. Bintanja, R. Vautard, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-61721-9

Déclin des deux plus grands glaciers des Alpes françaises au cours du 21ème siècle: Argentière et Mer de Glace (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Vincent, C., Peyaud, V., Laarman, O., Six, D., Gilbert, A., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Berthier, E., Morin, S., Verfaillie, D., Rabatel, A., Jourdain, B. & Bolibar, J.
Publicado en: La Météorologie, Edición 106, 2019, Página(s) 49-58, ISSN 2107-0830
Editor: unknown
DOI: 10.4267/2042/70369

Leach NJ, Weisheimer A, Allen MR, Palmer T (2021) Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 118:. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2112087118 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Leach NJ, Weisheimer A, Allen MR, Palmer T
Publicado en: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Edición 118, 2021, ISSN 1091-6490
Editor: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2112087118

Estimating Regionalized Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change Over Europe by Performance-Based Weighting of CORDEX Projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Frederiek C. Sperna Weiland; Robrecht D. Visser; Robrecht D. Visser; Robrecht D. Visser; Peter Greve; Berny Bisselink; Lukas Brunner; Albrecht H. Weerts; Albrecht H. Weerts
Publicado en: Frontiers in Water, Edición 3, 2021, ISSN 2624-9375
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.713537

Climate change impacts on future driving and walking conditions in Finland, Norway and Sweden (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Freistetter, NC., Médus, E., Hippi, M., Kangas, M., Dobler, A., Belušić, D., Käyhkö, J. & Partanen, A.-I.
Publicado en: Regional Environmental Change, Edición 22, 2022, Página(s) 58, ISSN 1436-3798
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-022-01920-4

Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Cowan T, Undorf S, Hegerl GC, et al
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 10, 2020, Página(s) 505+, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0771-7

Quantifying the role of the large-scale circulation on European summer precipitation change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Hylke de Vries; Geert Lenderink; Karin van der Wiel; Erik van Meijgaard
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2022, Página(s) 1-16, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06250-z

Comparing interannual variability in three regional single-model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) over Europe (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Fabian von Trentini; Emma Aalbers; Emma Aalbers; Erich M. Fischer; Ralf Ludwig
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Vol 11, Pp 1013-1031 (2020), Edición 11, 2020, Página(s) 1013-1031, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000453629

The forced response and decadal predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation: non-stationary and fragile skills (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Christiansen, B., Shuting Yang, and Dominic Matte
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, 2022, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0807.1

Identifying robust bias adjustment methods for European extreme precipitation in a multi-model pseudo-reality setting (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Torben Schmith; Peter Thejll; Peter Berg; Fredrik Boberg; Ole Bøssing Christensen; Bo Christiansen; Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen; Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen; Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen; Marianne Sloth Madsen; Christian Steger
Publicado en: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (EGU), Edición 25, 2021, Página(s) 273-290, ISSN 1607-7938
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/hess-25-273-2021

Sensitivity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and climate to tropical Indian Ocean warming (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Brady Ferster; Alexey V. Fedorov; Alexey V. Fedorov; Juliette Mignot; Eric Guilyardi; Eric Guilyardi
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 57, 2021, Página(s) 2433-2451, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05813-w

Unraveling the choice of the north Atlantic subpolar gyre index (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Koul, Vimal; Tesdal, Jan-Erik; Bersch, Manfred; Hátún, Hjálmar; Brune, Sebastian; Borchert, Leonard; Haak, Helmuth; Schrum, Corinna; Baehr, Johanna
Publicado en: Scientific reports, Edición 10, 2020, Página(s) 1005, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-57790-5

Early Warning from Space for a Few Key Tipping Points in Physical, Biological, and Social-Ecological Systems (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Swingedouw D, Speranza CI, Bartsch A, et al
Publicado en: Survey in Geophysics, Edición 41, 2020, Página(s) 1237-1284, ISSN 1573-0956
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-020-09604-6

Objective identification of potentially damaging tropical cyclones over the Western North Pacific (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: D J Befort, T Kruschke, G C Leckebusch
Publicado en: Environmental Research Communications, Edición 2/3, 2020, Página(s) 031005, ISSN 2515-7620
Editor: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab7b35

Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G. A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 45/21, 2018, Página(s) 11,895-11,903, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079362

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Yochanan Kushnir, Adam A. Scaife, Raymond Arritt, Gianpaolo Balsamo, George Boer, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Ed Hawkins, Masahide Kimoto, Rupa Kumar Kolli, Arun Kumar, Daniela Matei, Katja Matthes, Wolfgang A. Müller, Terence O’Kane, Judith Perlwitz, Scott Power, Marilyn Raphael, Akihiko Shimpo, Doug Smith, Matthias Tuma, Bo Wu
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 9/2, 2019, Página(s) 94-101, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: D. M. Smith, R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. M. DelSole, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, L. Hermanson, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Yeager, X. Yang
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 2/1, 2019, Página(s) 1-10, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y

How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation? (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Antje Weisheimer, Damien Decremer, David MacLeod, Christopher O’Reilly, T.N. Stockdale, S. Johnson, T.N. Palmer
Publicado en: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2018, Página(s) 1-20, ISSN 0035-9009
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3446

Future evolution of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Yves Tramblay, Samuel Somot
Publicado en: Climatic Change, Edición 151/2, 2018, Página(s) 289-302, ISSN 0165-0009
Editor: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2300-5

Toward a European Climate Prediction System (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Chris D. Hewitt, Jason A. Lowe
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Edición 99/10, 2018, Página(s) 1997-2001, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0022.1

Robustness and Scalability of Regional Climate Projections Over Europe (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Dominic Matte, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Publicado en: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Edición 6, 2019, ISSN 2296-665X
Editor: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2018.00163

Robustness of European climate projections from dynamical downscaling (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Morten A. D. Larsen, Ole B. Christensen, Martin Drews, Martin Stendel
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2019, Página(s) 1-13, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04831-z

Analysis of Ensemble Mean Forecasts: The Blessings of High Dimensionality (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bo Christiansen
Publicado en: Monthly Weather Review, Edición 147/5, 2019, Página(s) 1699-1712, ISSN 0027-0644
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0211.1

A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Erika Coppola, Stefan Sobolowski, E. Pichelli, F. Raffaele, B. Ahrens, I. Anders, N. Ban, S. Bastin, M. Belda, D. Belusic, A. Caldas-Alvarez, R. M. Cardoso, S. Davolio, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, L. Fita, Q. Fumiere, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, I. Güttler, T. Halenka, D. Heinzeller, Ø. Hodnebrog, D. Jacob, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. Kendon, S. Khodayar, H. Kunstmann, S. Knist, A. Lavín-Gullón, P.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2018, Página(s) 1-32, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8

Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bellprat, Omar; Guemas, Virginie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus G.
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 10, Edición 5, 2019, Página(s) 1-7, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000339757

A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Yiling Liu, Markus G. Donat, Andréa S. Taschetto, Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes, Lisa V. Alexander, Matthew H. England
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Edición 124/6, 2019, Página(s) 2882-2896, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029541

Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: R. Manzanas, J. M. Gutiérrez, J. Bhend, S. Hemri, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Torralba, E. Penabad, A. Brookshaw
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 02-2019, 2019, Página(s) 1-19, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04640-4

Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Luis R. L. Rodrigues, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Caio A. S. Coelho
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 02-2019, 2019, Página(s) 1-16, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4140-4

Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Pierre Spandre, Hugues François, Deborah Verfaillie, Marc Pons, Matthieu Vernay, Matthieu Lafaysse, Emmanuelle George, Samuel Morin
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 13/4, 2019, Página(s) 1325-1347, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: European Geoscience Union
DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019

Investigating the Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on the Wind Drought of 2015 Over the United States (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lledó, Llorenç; Bellprat, Omar; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Soret, Albert
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Edición 6, 2018, Página(s) 4837-4849, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2017JD028019

Characterization of the near surface wind speed distribution at global scale: ERA-Interim reanalysis and ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 4 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Raül Marcos, Nube González-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 52/5-6, 2019, Página(s) 3307-3319, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4338-5

Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Marco Turco, Sonia Jerez, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Amir AghaKouchak, Maria Carmen Llasat, Antonello Provenzale
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 9/1, 2018, Página(s) 1-9, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05250-0

Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: P. Spandre, H. François, D. Verfaillie, M. Lafaysse, M. Déqué, N. Eckert, E. George, S. Morin
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-44068-8

The biggest unknowns related to decadal prediction: what 50 experts think are the 5 major knowledge gaps (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Dragana Bojovic, Roberto Bilbao, Leandro B. Díaz, Markus Donat, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Marta Terrado, Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2019, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0190.1

Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Marius Zumwald, Reto Knutti
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 14/12, 2019, Página(s) 124010, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab492f

Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Panos J. Athanasiadis, Stephen Yeager, Young-Oh Kwon, Alessio Bellucci, David W. Smith, Stefano Tibaldi
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0120-6

Uncertainties in projections of sandy beach erosion due to sea level rise: an analysis at the European scale (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 10/1, 2020, Página(s) 11895, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-68576-0

"Historical and future changes in global flood magnitude – evidence from a model–observation investigation" (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Hong Xuan Do, Fang Zhao, Seth Westra, Michael Leonard, Lukas Gudmundsson, Julien Eric Stanislas Boulange, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Tobias Stacke, Camelia-Eliza Telteu, Yoshihide Wada
Publicado en: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Edición 24/3, 2020, Página(s) 1543-1564, ISSN 1607-7938
Editor: European Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-1543-2020

Using the Budyko Framework for Calibrating a Global Hydrological Model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: P. Greve, P. Burek, Y. Wada
Publicado en: Water Resources Research, Edición 56/6, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr026280

Europe-wide precipitation projections at convection permitting scale with the Unified Model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Steven C. Chan, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Ségolène Berthou, Giorgia Fosser, Elizabeth Lewis, Hayley J. Fowler
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 55/3-4, 2020, Página(s) 409-428, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05192-8

Skillful decadal prediction of unforced Southern European summer temperature variations (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Borchert, L.F., V. Koul, V., M.B. Menary, D.J. Befort, D. Swingedouw, G. Sgubin and J. Mignot
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 16 (104017), 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac20f5

Differences in representation of extreme precipitation events in two high resolution models (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Thomassen ED, Kendon EJ, Sorup HJD, et al
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 57, 2021, Página(s) 3029-3043, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05854-1

Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lukas Brunner, Carol McSweeney, Andrew P. Ballinger, Daniel J. Befort, Marianna Benassi, Ben Booth, Erika Coppola, Hylke de Vries, Glen Harris, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Reto Knutti, Geert Lenderink, Jason Lowe, Rita Nogherotto, Chris O’Reilly, Saïd Qasmi, Aurélien Ribes, Paolo Stocchi, Sabine Undorf
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 33/20, 2020, Página(s) 8671-8692, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0953.1

Multi-annual prediction of drought and heat stress to support decision making in the wheat sector (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Solaraju-Murali, B., Gonzalez-Reviriego, N., Caron, L.P., Ceglar, A., Toreti, A., Zampieri, M., Bretonnière, P.A., Samsó Cabré, M. and Doblas-Reyes, F.J.
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 4(1), 2021, Página(s) 1-9, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: MDPI
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-021-00189-4

Large discrepancies in summer climate change over Europe as projected by global and regional climate models: causes and consequences (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Julien Boé; Samuel Somot; Lola Corre; Pierre Nabat
Publicado en: "Climate Dynamics, Springer Verlag, 2020, 54 (5-6), pp.2981-3002. ⟨10.1007/s00382-020-05153-1⟩", Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05153-1

Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Christopher H. O'Reilly; Antje Weisheimer; Antje Weisheimer; David MacLeod; Daniel J. Befort; Tim Palmer
Publicado en: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020, ISSN 1477-870X
Editor: RMS
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3890

Understanding the Distribution of Multimodel Ensembles (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bo Christiansen
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 33/21, 2020, Página(s) 9447-9465, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0186.1

How extreme could the near term evolution of the Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall be? (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Jain S, Scaife AA
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 17, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4655

Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Gillett NP, Kirchmeier-Young M, Ribes A, et al
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 11, 2021, Página(s) 207-212, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00965-9

Non-Hydrostatic Regcm4 (Regcm4-NH): Evaluation of Precipitation Statistics at the Convection-Permitting Scale over Different Domains (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Stocchi, Paolo; Pichelli, Emanuela; Torres Alavez, Jose Abraham; Coppola, Erika; Giuliani, Graziano; Giorgi, Filippo
Publicado en: Atmosphere, 13 (6), Edición 1, 2022, ISSN 2073-4433
Editor: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos13060861

Quasi‐Stationary Intense Rainstorms Spread Across Europe Under Climate Change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Kahraman, A., Kendon, E., Chan, S., & Fowler, H.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 48 (13), 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl092361

Partitioning Uncertainty Components of an Incomplete Ensemble of Climate Projections Using Data Augmentation. (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Evin G, Hingray B, Blanchet J, et al
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 32, 2019, Página(s) 2423-2440, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0606.1

Observed subdecadal variations of European summer temperatures (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Müller, W. A., Borchert, L. & Ghosh, R.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 47, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086043

Médus, E., Thomassen, E. D., Belušić, D., Lind, P., Berg, P., Christensen, J. H., Christensen, O. B., Dobler, A., Kjellström, E., Olsson, J., Yang, W. (2022). Characteristics of precipitation extremes over the Nordic region: added value of convection-permitting modeling, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 693–711. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-693-2022 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Médus, E., Thomassen, E. D., Belušić, D., Lind, P., Berg, P., Christensen, J. H., Christensen, O. B., Dobler, A., Kjellström, E., Olsson, J., Yang, W. (2022). Characteristics of precipitation extremes over the Nordic region: added value of convection-permitting modeling, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 693–711. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-693-2022
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Edición 22, 2022, Página(s) 693-711, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-22-693-2022

Seasonal Forecasts of the Twentieth Century (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Weisheimer A, Befort DJ, MacLeod D, et al
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Edición 101, 2020, Página(s) e1413-e1426, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0019.1

Climate models permit convection at much coarser resolutions than previously considered. (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Jesus Vergara-Temprado; Nikolina Ban; Davide Panosetti; Linda Schlemmer; Christoph Schär
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 33, 2020, Página(s) 1915-1933, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0286.1

Towards an objective assessment of climate multi-model ensembles - a case study: the Senegalo-Mauritanian upwelling region (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Mignot J, Mejia C, Sorror C, et al
Publicado en: Geoscience Model Development, Edición 13, 2020, Página(s) 2723-2742, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-2723-2020

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Tokarska, K. B., Stolpe, M. B., Sippel, S., Fischer, E. M., Smith, C. J., Lehner, F. and Knutti, R.
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 6(12), 2020, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: AAAS (American Association for the Advances of Science)
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549

Development of the Community Water Model (CWatM v1.04) – a high-resolution hydrological model for global and regional assessment of integrated water resources management (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Peter Burek, Yusuke Satoh, Taher Kahil, Ting Tang, Peter Greve, Mikhail Smilovic, Luca Guillaumot, Fang Zhao, Yoshihide Wada
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 13/7, 2020, Página(s) 3267-3298, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3267-2020

Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Parker, T., Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A., O'Reilly, C., Baker, L. & Shaffrey, L.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 46, 2019, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084402

Projections and uncertainties of sandy beach loss due to sea level rise at the European scale (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Ranasinghe, R., and Kwadijk, J.
Publicado en: EGU General Assembly 2020, Edición EGU2020-10149, 2020, ISSN 1866-3508
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-10149

Users cognitive load: A key aspect to successfully communicate visual climate information (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Luz Calvo; Isadora Christel; Marta Terrado; Fernando M. Cucchietti; Mario Pérez-Montoro
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, Página(s) 1-16, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0166.1

Evaluation and Expected Changes of Summer Precipitation at Convection Permitting Scale with COSMO-CLM over Alpine Space (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Marianna Adinolfi, Mario Raffa, Alfredo Reder, Paola Mercogliano
Publicado en: Atmosphere, Edición 12/1, 2021, Página(s) 54, ISSN 2073-4433
Editor: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos12010054

Representing model uncertainty in multi-annual predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Befort, D. J., O'Reilly, C. H., & Weisheimer, A.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090059

How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Tamzin Palmer; Ben B. B. Booth; Carol McSweeney
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 16, 2021, Página(s) 1-15, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10504579.1

Scaling and responses of extreme hourly precipitation in three climate experiments with a convection-permitting model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lenderink G, De Vries H, Fowler HJ, et al
Publicado en: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, Edición 379, 2021, ISSN 0080-4614
Editor: The Royal Society Publishing
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2019.0544

Making climate projections conditional on historical observations (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Aurélien Ribes, Saïd Qasmi, Nathan P. Gillett
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 7/4, 2021, Página(s) eabc0671, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abc0671

Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Yadu Pokhrel; Farshid Felfelani; Yusuke Satoh; Yusuke Satoh; Julien Boulange; Peter Burek; Anne Gädeke; Dieter Gerten; Dieter Gerten; Simon N. Gosling; Manolis Grillakis; Lukas Gudmundsson; Naota Hanasaki; Hyungjun Kim; Aristeidis Koutroulis; Junguo Liu; Lamprini Papadimitriou; Jacob Schewe; Hannes Müller Schmied; Tobias Stacke; Camelia Eliza Telteu; Wim Thiery; Wim Thiery; Ted Veldkamp; Ted Vel
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 11, 2021, Página(s) 226-333, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w

Towards useful decadal climate services (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Dunstone, N., Lockwood, J., Solaraju-Murali, B., Reinhardt, K., Tsartsali, E. E., Athanasiadis, P. J., Bellucci, A., Brookshaw, A., Caron, L., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Früh, B., González-Reviriego, N., Gualdi, S., Hermanson, L., Materia, S., Nicodemou, A., Nicolì, D., Pankatz, K., Paxian, A., Scaife, A., Smith, D., & Thornton, H. E.
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-21-0190.1

Selecting regional climate scenarios for impact modelling studies (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Wilcke, R. A. I., Bärring, L.
Publicado en: Environmental Modelling & Software, 2016, ISSN 1364-8152
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.01.002

Systematic investigation of skill opportunities in decadal prediction of air temperature over Europe (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Giovanni Sgubin; Didier Swingedouw; Leonard Borchert; Matthew Menary; Thomas Noël; Harilaos Loukos; Juliette Mignot
Publicado en: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03318273, Edición 57, 2021, Página(s) 3245-3263, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05863-0

Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: O'Reilly, C.H., D.J. Befort, and A. Weisheimer
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1033-2020

Tailoring circulation type classification outcomes (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Felicitas Hansen; Danijel Belušić
Publicado en: International Journal of Climatology, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 0899-8418
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7171

The transient sensitivity of sea level rise (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Grinsted A, Christensen JH
Publicado en: Ocean Science, Edición 17, 2021, Página(s) 181-186, ISSN 1812-0792
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-181-2021

Internal variability versus multi‐physics uncertainty in a regional climate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Alvaro Lavin‐Gullon, Jesus Fernandez, Sophie Bastin, Rita M. Cardoso, Lluis Fita, Theodore M. Giannaros, Klaus Goergen, Jose Manuel Gutierrez, Stergios Kartsios, Eleni Katragkou, Torge Lorenz, Josipa Milovac, Pedro M. M. Soares, Stefan Sobolowski, Kirsten Warrach‐Sagi
Publicado en: International Journal of Climatology, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6717

Towards consistent observational constraints in climate predictions and projections (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Hegerl, G., A. Ballinger, B. Booth, L.F. Borchert, L. Brunner, M. Donat, F. Doblas-Reyes, G. Harris, J. Lowe, R. Mahmood, J. Mignot, J. Murphy, D. Swingedouw and A. Weisheimer
Publicado en: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.678109

A new spatially distributed added value index for regional climate models: the EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX-CORE highest resolution ensembles (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: James M. Ciarlo`, Erika Coppola, Adriano Fantini, Filippo Giorgi, XueJie Gao, Yao Tong, Russell H. Glazer, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Taleena Sines, Emanuela Pichelli, Francesca Raffaele, Sushant Das, Melissa Bukovsky, Moetasim Ashfaq, Eun-Soon Im, Thanh Nguyen-Xuan, Claas Teichmann, Armelle Remedio, Thomas Remke, Katharina Bülow, Torsten Weber, Lars Buntemeyer, Kevin Sieck, Diana Rechid, Daniel
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05400-5

Advances in reconstructing the AMOC using sea surface observations of salinity (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Estella-Perez V, Mignot J, Guilyardi E, et al
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 55, 2020, Página(s) 975-992, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05304-4

Assessment of the spatio-temporal variability of the added value on precipitation of convection-permitting simulation over the Iberian Peninsula using the RegIPSL regional earth system mode (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Kumar-Shahi N., Polcher J., Bastin S., Pennel R., Fita L.
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 59, 2022, Página(s) 471-498, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06138-y

The aridity index under global warming (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Greve, P., Roderick, M. L., Ukkola, A. M., Wada, Y.
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 14(12), 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5046

Linking Ocean Forcing and Atmospheric Interactions to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in MPI‐ESM1.2 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: J. Oelsmann, L. Borchert, R. Hand, J. Baehr, J. H. Jungclaus
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 47/10, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087259

Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones over the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Daniel J. Befort; Kevin I. Hodges; Antje Weisheimer
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 35, 2022, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0041.1

Decadal Predictions of the Probability of Occurrence for Warm Summer Temperature Extremes (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Borchert, Leonard F.; Pohlmann, Holger; Baehr, Johanna; Neddermann, Nele‐Charlotte; Suarez‐Gutierrez, Laura; Müller, Wolfgang A.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 46, 2019, Página(s) 14042-14051, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085385

WMO global annual to decadal climate update: a prediction for 2021–25 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Leon Hermanson; Doug Smith; Melissa Seabrook; Roberto Bilbao; Francisco Doblas-Reyes; Etienne Tourigny; Vladimir Lapin; Viatcheslav V. Kharin; William J. Merryfield; Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso; Panos Athanasiadis; Dario Nicoli; Silvio Gualdi; Nick Dunstone; Rosie Eade; Adam Scaife; Mark Collier; Terence O’Kane; Vassili Kitsios; Paul Sandery; Klaus Pankatz; Barbara Früh; Holger Pohlmann; Wolfgang M
Publicado en: American Meteorological Society, 2022, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0311.1

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Lukas Brunner, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Flavio Lehner, Anna L. Merrifield, Ruth Lorenz, Reto Knutti
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 11/4, 2020, Página(s) 995-1012, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-995-2020

The Weather Roulette: a game to communicate the usefulness of probabilistic climate predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Terrado, M., Lledó, L., Bojovic, D., St Clair, A. L., Soret, A., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Manzanas, R., San-Martín, D. & Christel, I.
Publicado en: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Edición 100, 2019, Página(s) 1909-1921, ISSN 0003-0007
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0214.1

Using statistical downscaling to assess skill of decadal predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Benestad, R., Caron, L.-P., Parding, K., Iturbide, M., Gutiérrez Llorente, J. M., Mezghani, A. & Doblas-Reyes, F. J.
Publicado en: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology & Oceanography, Edición 02806495, 2019, ISSN 0280-6495
Editor: Swedish Geophysical Society: Munksgaard
DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2019.1652882

The effects of bias, drift, and trends in calculating anomalies for evaluating skill of seasonal-to-decadal initialized climate predictions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Meehl GA, Teng H, Smith D, et al
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06272-7

Extreme windstorms and sting jets in convection-permitting climate simulations over Europe (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Manning C, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, et al
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 58, 2022, Página(s) 2387-2404, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-06011-4

The influence of ENSO events on the stratospheric QBO in a multi-model ensemble (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Serva, Federico; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Christiansen, Bo; Yang, Shuting
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 54, 2020, Página(s) 2561–2575, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05131-7

Reconstructing climatic modes of variability from proxy records using ClimIndRec version 1.0 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Simon Michel; Didier Swingedouw; Marie Chavent; Pablo Ortega; Juliette Mignot; Myriam Khodri
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 13, 2020, Página(s) 841-858, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-841-2020

Extreme sub-hourly precipitation intensities scale close to the Clausius-Clapeyron rate over Europe (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Vergara-Temprado, J., N. Ban and C. Schär
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089506

Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Carvalho-Oliveira J, Borchert LF, Duchez A, et al
Publicado en: Climate & Weather Dynamics, Edición 2, 2021, Página(s) 739-757, ISSN 2698-4016
Editor: Springer Science & Business Media
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2-739-2021

Regional Climate Model emulator based on deep learning: concept and first evaluation of a novel hybrid downscaling approach (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Doury A., Somot S., Gadat S., Ribes A., Corre L.
Publicado en: Research Square, 2022, ISSN 2693-5015
Editor: Research Square LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-725819/v1

Impact_du_changement_climatique_sur_les_precipitations_extremes_dans_le_sud-est_de_la_France_apport_des_modeles_resolvant_la_convection_profonde (PhD Thesis, Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse III)

Autores: Fumière Q.
Publicado en: Hal Open Science, 2019, ISSN 2267-828x
Editor: CCSD

Global distribution of nearshore slopes with implications for coastal retreat (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Sandra Gaytan-Aguilar, Roshanka Ranasinghe
Publicado en: Earth System Science Data, Edición 11/4, 2019, Página(s) 1515-1529, ISSN 1866-3516
Editor: not applicable
DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-1515-2019

Evaluation of the near-surface wind field over the Adriatic region: local wind characteristics in the convection-permitting model ensemble (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Belušić Vozila, A., Danijel Belušić, Maja Telišman Prtenjak et al
Publicado en: Research Square, 2022, ISSN 2693-5015
Editor: Research Square Company
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1622667/v1

Long range predictability of the length of day and extratropical surface climate (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Scaife, A. A., Hermanson, L., van Niekerk, A., Andrews, M., Baldwin, M. P., Belcher S., Bett, P., Comer, R. E., Dunstone N. J., Geen R., Hardiman S. C., Ineson S., Knight J., Nie Y., Ren H.-L., and Smith D.
Publicado en: EGU General Assembly 2021, 2021
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-191

Towards European wide maps of climatologic homogeneous regions for rainfall

Autores: Zander MJ, Sperna Weiland FC, and Weerts AH
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Edición Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019, vol 21,, 2019
Editor: European Geophysical Union

Uncertainty analysis in land loss prediction due to sea level rise, for sandy systems, at the European scale

Autores: Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019, Edición Vol. 21, 2019
Editor: European Geophysical Union

Overview of near-term decadal climate prediction and its applications: Technical note

Autores: Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Solaraju Murali, Balakrishnan; Doblas Reyes, Francisco
Publicado en: Universitat Politècnica Commons. Global access to UPC knowledge, 2018
Editor: Universitat Politècnica

How to better predict North Atlantic’s atmospheric pressure patterns

Autores: Based on paper by Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Gaytan-Aguilar, S., and Ranasinghe, R.
Publicado en: 2020
Editor: EU

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