Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs | PROVIDE | Progetto | Risultati | H2020 | CORDIS

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Policy brief on climate and sectoral overshoot impacts and reversibility assessments, and implications for adaptation
Report on biodiversity impacts of overshoot

This deliverable report summarizes the final results of Task 2.4.

First overshoot proofing reports for sectoral adaptation strategies
Four review reports on key overshoot adaptation challenges in Iconic Regions and Cities

Potential socioecological tipping points irreversible impacts and spatial opportunities and conditions for integrating future adaptation measures in Iconic Regions and Cities including insights from first set of stakeholder meetings

Second overshoot proofing reports for sectoral adaptation strategies
Co-developed iconic overshoot adaptation scenario narratives and high-resolution maps

Include assessments of options to avoid adverse tipping points and allow for future reverse adaptation

Policy brief on Overshoot Proofing
Four overshoot proofing reports for Iconic Regions and Cities

Multiscale (regional and urban) proposals for overshoot-proofed adaptation strategies produced, and internal meeting held to ensure coherence with WP3 methodology.

Policy brief on PROVIDE findings of adaptation and mitigation implications of overshoot risks as input into the Global Stocktake
Policy brief on assessment of GHG emissions implied by the latest round of NDCs under the Paris Agreement, their plausible temperature implications, and CDR deployment scales in associated pathways

Release of complete set of communication materials and tools, incl. the public website-V 1.0

First version of full project communication chain as described in Communication Activities sec 236

Capacity-building resources and webinars on application of climate impact information for overshoot proofing

Final version of the CS Dashboard, providing climate and sectoral impact information and reversibility assessments, and the Overshoot Proofing Module
Version 1 of the CS Dashboard, providing climate and sectoral impact information as well as a first version of the Regional Module
Version 0 of the CS Dashboard providing information on few variables with global coverage

Pubblicazioni

High resolution modelling of the urban heat island of 100 European cities

Autori: Dirk Lauwaet, Julie Berckmans, Hans Hooyberghs, Hendrik Wouters, Guy Driesen, Filip Lefebre, Koen De Ridder
Pubblicato in: Urban Climate, Numero Volume 54, March 2024, 101850, 2024, ISSN 2212-0955
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101850

Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections

Autori: Kai Kornhuber, Corey Lesk, Carl F. Schleussner, Jonas Jägermeyr, Peter Pfleiderer & Radley M. Horton
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38906-7

Uncompensated claims to fair emission space risk putting Paris Agreement goals out of reach

Autori: Gaurav Ganti, Matthew J Gidden, Christopher J Smith, Claire Fyson, Alexander Nauels, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb502

Modelling marine heatwaves impact on shallow and upper mesophotic tropical coral reefs

Autori: Nicolas Colombi, Chahan M Kropf, Friedrich A Burger, David N Bresch, Thomas L Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2024, Pagina/e 124053, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad89df

Representing natural climate variability in an event attribution context: Indo-Pakistani heatwave of 2022

Autori: Shruti Nath a b, Mathias Hauser b, Dominik L. Schumacher b, Quentin Lejeune a, Lukas Gudmundsson b, Yann Quilcaille b, Pierre Candela c, Fahad Saeed a, Sonia I. Seneviratne b, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner a d
Pubblicato in: Weather and Climate Extremes, Numero Volume 44, June 2024, 100671, 2024, ISSN 2212-0947
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100671

The zero emissions commitment and climate stabilization

Autori: Palazzo Corner et al.
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Science, Numero Volume 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Editore: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744

Infrastructure failure cascades quintuple risk of storm and flood-induced service disruptions across the globe

Autori: Evelyn Mühlhofer David N. Bresch Elco E. Koks
Pubblicato in: One Earth, Numero VOLUME 7, ISSUE 4, P714-729, APRIL 19, 2024, 2024, ISSN 2590-3322
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.03.010

Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments

Autori: Andrijevic, M., Schleussner, CF., Crespo Cuaresma, J. et al.
Pubblicato in: Nat. Clim. Chang., Numero 13, 778–787 (2023), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1

Net zero targets in science and policy

Autori: Joeri Rogelj
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb4ae

Assessment of a tiling energy budget approach in a land surface model, ORCHIDEE-MICT (r8205)

Autori: Yi Xi, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Dan Zhu, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Jinfeng Chang, Elodie Salmon, and Philippe Ciais
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4727-2024

The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7

Autori: Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ben B. B. Booth, John Dunne, Veronika Eyring, Rosie A. Fisher, Pierre Friedlingstein, Matthew J. Gidden, Tomohiro Hajima, Chris D. Jones, Colin G. Jones, Andrew King, Charles D. Koven, David M. Lawrence, Jason Lowe, Nadine Mengis, Glen P. Peters, Joeri Rogelj, Chris Smith, Abigail C. Snyder, Isla R. Simpson, Abigail L. S. Swann, Claudia Tebaldi, Tatiana Ilyina, Carl-Friedric
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 17, 2024, Pagina/e 8141-8172, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024

Evaluating the near- and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives

Autori: Gaurav Ganti, Thomas Gasser, Mai Bui, Oliver Geden, William F. Lamb, Jan C. Minx, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Matthew J. Gidden
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01527-z

Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making

Autori: Jana Sillmann, Timothy H. Raupach, Kirsten L. Findell, Markus Donat, Lincoln M. Alves, Lisa Alexander, Leonard Borchert, Pablo Borges de Amorim, Carlo Buontempo, Erich M. Fischer, Christian L. Franzke, Bin Guan, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Ed Hawkins, Daniela Jacob, Roché Mahon, Douglas Maraun, Monica A. Morrison, Benjamin Poschlod, Alex C. Ruane, null Shampa, Tannecia Stephenson, Narelle van der Wel, Zh
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, Numero 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: Frontiers in Climate
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Fire weather index data under historical and shared socioeconomic pathway projections in the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project from 1850 to 2100

Autori: Quilcaille, Y., Batibeniz, F., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Padrón, R. S., and Seneviratne, S. I.
Pubblicato in: Earth Syst. Sci. Data, Numero 15, 2153–2177, 2023, ISSN 1866-3508
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023

Irreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot

Autori: Santana-Falcon et al.
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero Volume 4, Number 343, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01002-1

Substantial reductions in non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions reductions implied by IPCC estimates of the remaining carbon budget

Autori: Joeri Rogelj & Robin D. Lamboll
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 5, Article number: 35 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01168-8

Quantifying uncertainty in aggregated climate change risk assessments

Autori: Harrington, L.J., Schleussner, CF. & Otto, F.E.L.
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 12, Article number: 7140, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2

Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways

Autori: Jonas Schwaab, Mathias Hauser, Robin D. Lamboll, Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, Yann Quilcaille, Quentin Lejeune, Sarah Schöngart, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Joeri Rogelj, Zebedee Nicholls, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Pubblicato in: Scientific Data, Numero 11, 2024, ISSN 2052-4463
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-04122-1

Introducing the MESMER-M-TPv0.1.0 module: spatially explicit Earth system model emulation for monthly precipitation and temperature

Autori: Sarah Schöngart, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Peter Pfleiderer, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 17, 2024, Pagina/e 8283-8320, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8283-2024

Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate

Autori: Luca G. Severino, Chahan M. Kropf, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Christopher Fairless, Andries Jan de Vries, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, David N. Bresch
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numero 24, 2024, Pagina/e 1555-1578, ISSN 1684-9981
Editore: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

Autori: Tessa Möller, Annika Ernest Högner, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Samuel Bien, Niklas H. Kitzmann, Robin D. Lamboll, Joeri Rogelj, Jonathan F. Donges, Johan Rockström, Nico Wunderling
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0

Ocean acidification in emission-driven temperature stabilization scenarios: the role of TCRE and non-CO2 greenhouse gases

Autori: Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Fortunat Joos
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acaf91

Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations

Autori: Harry Zekollari, Matthias Huss, Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David R. Rounce, Rodrigo Aguayo, Nicolas Champollion, Loris Compagno, Romain Hugonnet, Ben Marzeion, Seyedhamidreza Mojtabavi, Daniel Farinotti
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 18, 2024, Pagina/e 5045-5066, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-5045-2024

Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled

Autori: Z. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, C. J. Smith, P. M. Forster, J. S. Fuglestvedt, J. Rogelj, J. S. Kikstra, K. Riahi, E. Byers
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Volume49, Numero20, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099788

CICERO Simple Climate Model (CICERO-SCM v1.1.1) – an improved simple climate model with a parameter calibration tool

Autori: Marit Sandstad, Borgar Aamaas, Ane Nordlie Johansen, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Glen Peters, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-196

Coupling a large-scale glacier and hydrological model (OGGM v1.5.3 and CWatM V1.08) – towards an improved representation of mountain water resources in global assessments

Autori: Sarah Hanus, Lilian Schuster, Peter Burek, Fabien Maussion, Yoshihide Wada, and Daniel Viviroli
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-5123-2024

Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections

Autori: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004575

Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters

Autori: Rounce, D. R., Hock, R., Maussion, F., Hugonnet, R., Kochtitzky, W., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Brinkerhoff, D., Compagno, L., Copland, L., Farinotti, D., Menounos, B. and McNabb, R. W
Pubblicato in: Science, Numero Volume 379, Numero 6627, 2023, Pagina/e 78–83, ISSN 1095-9203
Editore: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abo1324

Hydrologic interpretation of machine learning models for 10-daily streamflow simulation in climate sensitive upper Indus catchments

Autori: Haris Mushtaq, Taimoor Akhtar, Muhammad Zia ur Rahman Hashmi, Amjad Masood & Fahad Saeed
Pubblicato in: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2024, ISSN 0177-798X
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-024-04932-8

Global protection from tropical cyclones by coastal ecosystems—past, present, and under climate change

Autori: Sarah Hülsen, Robert I McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, David N Bresch, Richard Sharp, Thomas Worthington and Chahan M Kropf
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Volume 18, Number 12, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad00cd

Climate-resilient strategy planning using the SWOT methodology: A case study of the Japanese wind energy sector

Autori: Lisa Bachmann, Ricarda Lex, Florian Regli, Saira Vögeli, Evelyn Mühlhofer, Jamie W. McCaughey, Susanne Hanger-Kopp, David N. Bresch, Chahan M. Kropf
Pubblicato in: Climate Risk Management, Numero 46, 2025, Pagina/e 100665, ISSN 2212-0963
Editore: Climate Risk Management
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100665

Mapping the climate risk to urban forests at city scale

Autori: Esperon-Rodriguez, M.; Gallagher, R.V.; Souverijns, N.; Lejeune, Q.; Schleussner, C.-F.; Tjoelker, M.G.
Pubblicato in: Landscape and Urban Planning, 2024, ISSN 1872-6062
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2024.105090

Glacier projections sensitivity to temperature-index model choices and calibration strategies

Autori: Lilian Schuster; David R. Rounce; Fabien Maussion
Pubblicato in: Annals of Glaciology,, Numero 6, 2023, Pagina/e Pp 1-16, ISSN 1727-5644
Editore: University of Lethbridge, Canada
DOI: 10.1017/aog.2023.57

Overconfidence in climate overshoot

Autori: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Quentin Lejeune, Biqing Zhu, Peter Pfleiderer, Ruben Prütz, Philippe Ciais, Thomas L. Frölicher, Sabine Fuss, Thomas Gasser, Matthew J. Gidden, Chahan M. Kropf, Fabrice Lacroix, Robin Lamboll, Rosanne Martyr, Fabien Maussion, Jamie W. McCaughey, Malte Meinshausen, Matthias Mengel, Zebedee Nicholls, Yann Quilcaille, Benjamin Sanderson, Sonia I. Seneviratn
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 634, 2024, Pagina/e 366-373, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9

Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios

Autori: Peter Pfleiderer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, and Jana Sillmann
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Climate, Numero Climate 3 015005, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad1c45

Arctic rivers tell tales of change

Autori: Fabrice Lacroix
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, Numero 16, 2023, Pagina/e 760-761, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-023-01248-6

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Autori: Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1432654

Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots

Autori: Fabrice Lacroix, Friedrich A. Burger, Yona Silvy, Carl‐F. Schleussner, Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004862

Estimating vanishing allowable emissions for 1.5 °C

Autori: Benjamin M. Sanderson
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 13, 2023, Pagina/e 1284-1285, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01846-7

Adaptive emission reduction approach to reach any global warming target

Autori: Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Mathias T. Aschwanden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Fortunat Joos
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero Volume 12, 2022, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01537-9

Understanding the carbon dioxide removal range in 1.5 °C compatible and high overshoot pathways

Autori: Ruben Prütz, Jessica Strefler, Joeri Rogelj, and Sabine Fuss
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero Volume 5, Number 4, 2023, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/accdba

Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change

Autori: Lukas Gudmundsson; Josefine Kirchner; Anne Gädeke; Jeannette Noetzli; Boris K Biskaborn
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Vol 17, Iss 9, p 095014 (2022), 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2

Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways

Autori: Felix Jäger, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Michael Windisch, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Christoph Müller, Kanishka Balu Narayan, Ryan Sebastian Padrón, Alexander Popp, Detlef van Vuuren, Michael Wögerer, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 15, 2024, Pagina/e 1055-1071, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024

A multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challenges.

Autori: van de Ven, DJ., Mittal, S., Gambhir, A. et al.
Pubblicato in: Nat. Clim. Chang., Numero 13, 570–578 (2023), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01661-0

Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S)

Autori: Rodrigo Aguayo, Fabien Maussion, Lilian Schuster, Marius Schaefer, Alexis Caro, Patrick Schmitt, Jonathan Mackay, Lizz Ultee, Jorge Leon-Muñoz, Mauricio Aguayo
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 18, 2024, Pagina/e 5383-5406, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-5383-2024

An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives

Autori: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Gaurav Ganti; Joeri Rogelj; Matthew Gidden
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 3, Article number: 135 (2022), 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w

Credibility gap in net-zero climate targets leaves world at high risk

Autori: Joeri Rogelj, Taryn Fransen, Michel G. J. den Elzen, Robin D. Lamboll, Clea Schumer, Takeshi Kuramochi, Frederic Hans, Silke Mooldijk, Joana Portugal-Pereira
Pubblicato in: Science, Numero 380, 2024, Pagina/e 1014-1016, ISSN 0036-8075
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.adg6248

Tropical cyclone risk for global ecosystems in a changing climate

Autori: Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 15, 2025, Pagina/e 92-100, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02194-w

A taxonomy to map evidence on the co-benefits, challenges, and limits of carbon dioxide removal

Autori: Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Sarah Lück, Leon Stephan & Joeri Rogelj
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 5, Article number: 197 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01365-z

Why half a degree matters so much

Autori: Grete K. Hovelsrud; Helena Gonzales Lindberg
Pubblicato in: The Circle, 2024, Pagina/e 14-16
Editore: WWF

Climate Risk Dashboard

Autori: Lilian Schuster, Patrick Schmitt and Fabien Maussion.
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: OGGM-Edu

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Autori: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia Seneviratne
Pubblicato in: Preprint, 2024
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4796598/v1

Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5°C

Autori: Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David Rounce, Lizz Ultee, Patrick Schmitt, Fabrice Lacroix, Thomas Frölicher, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: preprint is Under Review at Nature Portfolio, 2024
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-5045894/v1

Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Snow Avalanche-Induced Risk in Alpine Regions

Autori: Gregor Ortner, Adrien Michel, Chahan M. Kropf, Michael Bründl, David N. Bresch
Pubblicato in: preprint, 2023, ISSN 2693-5015
Editore: Research Square Platform LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3475066/v1

Imputation of missing IPCC AR6 data on land carbon sequestration

Autori: Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Joeri Rogelj
Pubblicato in: Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], 2024, ISSN 1866-3508
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-2024-68

Fire Weather Compromises Large-scale Afforestation Scenarios

Autori: Jäger, Felix; Schwaab, Jonas; Quilcaille, Yann ; Windisch, Michael; Doelman, Jonathan C.; Frank, Stefan; Gusti, Mykola; Havlik, Petr; Humpenöder, Florian; Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Andrey; Müller, Christoph; Narayan, Kanishka, B.; Padrón Flasher, Ryan ; Popp, Alexander; Van Vuuren, Detlef; Wögerer, Michael; Seneviratne, Sonia I.
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: ETHZ
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000614820

How to minimise the risks from overshooting the 1.5C limit

Autori: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Prof Joeri Rogelj
Pubblicato in: Numero 9 October 2024, 2024
Editore: Carbon Brief

Inter-model differences in 21st Century Glacier Runoff for the World’s Major River Basins

Autori: Finn Wimberly, Lizz Ultee, Lilian Schuster, Matthias Huss, David R. Rounce, Fabien Maussion, Sloan Coats, Jonathan Mackay, Erik Holmgren
Pubblicato in: preprint (under review), 2024
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1778

Long-term impacts of global temperature stabilization and overshoot on exploited marine species

Autori: Anne L. Morée, Fabrice Lacroix, William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Preprint, 2024
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090

A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE project

Autori: Robin Lamboll; Joeri Rogelj; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Numero 1, 2022
Editore: Climate Analytics
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10511875.1

Recent observations and glacier modeling point towards near complete glacier loss in western Austria (Ötztal and Stubai mountain range) if 1.5 °C is not met

Autori: Lea Hartl, Patrick Schmitt, Lilian Schuster, Kay Helfricht, Jakob Abermann, Fabien Maussion
Pubblicato in: Preprint: The EGU interactive community platform, 2024
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3146

What 1.5C overshoot would mean for climate impacts and adaptation

Autori: Dr Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Prof Rachel Warren; Dr Fabien Maussion; Dr Niels Souverijns; Dr Quentin Lejeune
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: Carbon Brief

Future evolution of glaciers

Autori: Fabien Maussion, Zora Schirmeister and Lilian Schuster
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: OGGM-Edu Developers

A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs)

Autori: Malte Meinshausen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Kathleen Beyer, Greg Bodeker, Olivier Boucher, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Fatima Driouech, Erich Fischer, Piers Forster, Michael Grose, Gerrit Hansen, Zeke Hausfather, Tatiana Ilyina, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Joyce Kimutai, Andrew D. King, June-Yi Lee, Chris Lennard, Tabea Lissner, Alexander Nauels, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, G
Pubblicato in: Geosci. Model Dev., Numero 17, 4533–4559, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024

Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy

Autori: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 15, 307–322, 2024, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-307-2024

Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture

Autori: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Pubblicato in: Earth Syst. Dynam., Numero 14, 1333–1362, 2023, 2023
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-1333-2023

The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty

Autori: Susanne Baur, Alexander Nauels, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, 2023
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023

Taking Earth’s Temperature: Will Zero Carbon Mean Zero Change?

Autori: Sofia Palazzo Corner, Joeri Rogelj
Pubblicato in: Frontiers for Young Minds, Numero 11, 2023, ISSN 2296-6846
Editore: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frym.2023.1248929

Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information

Autori: Peter Pfleiderer, Thomas Frölicher, Chahan Kropf, Robin Lamboll, Quentin Lejeune, Tiago Lourenco, Jamie McCaughey, Yann Quilcaille, Joeri Rogelj, Benjamin Sanderson, Christopher Smith, Jana Sillmann, Emily Theokritoff, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Preprint for Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: California Digital Library (CDL)
DOI: 10.31223/x5r088

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