Sustainability Performances, Evidence and Scenarios

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

"Working paper on ""The analysis of the most vulnerable groups to climate change’s direct and indirect shocks”"

Working paper (open access) on household vulnerability and resilience to shocks in various dimensions of wellbeing across many countries of the world.

Report of the SPES final conference in Brussels

Report on the results and outcomes of the final SPES conference and policy engagement.

Co-design workshop manual and capacity building workshop guide

Manual for the organizing and conducting co-design workshops.

Working paper on “The consequences of transition processes on human development and the achievement of decent living standards for all”

Working paper (open access) on the impacts of transitions on the attainment of sustainable human development and living standards for all

Reports on the SPES policy roundtables

Unique file collecting reports on the outcomes from the several SPES policy roundtables

Policy briefing on the nexus between growth process and the sustainability transition

Policy briefings on main policy implications deriving from the nexus between growth processes and the sustainability transition

Report on updated mapping of European and national policies fostering productivity-enhancement for the sustainability transition

Research report on mapping European policies and national policies (both in European Members States and in selected partner countries) that focus on directing R&I efforts and productivity-enhancement for the sustainability transition. It includes the identification of policies, the collection of available information and data and the systematization for wider research and policymaking purposes.

SPES Impact Handbook

Handbook collecting all SPES policy briefings to enable multiplying the impact of the project during the course of the project development as well as after it.

Policy briefing on data governance, ethics, and policymaking use

Policy briefing on dedicated governance guidelines adhering to the highest ethical standards (e.g., GDPR but also citizen participation as encoded in citizen science principles) about computational/qualitative methods.

Policy briefing offering measurement guidance for governance and policy implications

Policy briefing on how monitoring transition performance is related to governance and policy-making.

Report on scenarios assessment, impact, and policy recommendations for selected case study countries

Unique file collecting reports on scenario assessment in selected case-studies, based on stakeholder mapping, coordination, consultation, participatory scenario design and empirical assessment of the feasibility of different scenarios.

Policy briefing on scenario analysis to foster sustainability transition

Policy briefing on issues and priorities in specific contexts to shape the scenario processes towards sustainability.

Report on ways to improve composite indices and measurement frameworks on transition performance

Research report on new knowledge and evidence about ways to improve composite indices and measurement frameworks on transition performances.

Working paper on the SPES theoretical and analytical framework

Working paper (open access) on the SPES advanced and robust theoretical and analytical framework to guide research activities and policy engagement, based on critiques of the mainstream approaches to place economic growth and human progress within social and environmental boundaries

Working paper on “Sustainability transition pathways and enabling factors in different case study countries”

Working paper (open access) on the literature review of transition pathways for the selected case study countries with a focus on identifying enabling factors for such transition processes.

Working paper on “Spatial and socio-economic variation in individual perceptions of distributional challenges and policy trade-offs associated with sustainability transitions”

Working paper (open access) on the drivers (from a bottom-up perspective) of support for transition processes and societal challenges that can hinder a successful implementation.

Working paper on “Describing the socioeconomic groups most vulnerable to sustainability in European and partner countries”

Working paper (open access) on analysing and describing the groups that are already losing from the transition, assessing the (re-)distributive effect of the transition and to understand what dimensions of the transition need to be targeted.

Working paper on “The transition from below: Collectively agreed perspectives on problems, aspirations and potential policy solutions”

Working paper (open access) on insights into what kind of concrete policy solutions are likely to encounter the support of citizens if implemented, and the collective political support from groups that are at particular risk of social and economic marginalisation.

Book manuscript submitted to a top-level publishing company

Book manuscript, including the main findings of all research activities throughout the project (in terms of novel concepts and framework, data and methods, empirical analysis, and policy implications) for its submission publication, and dissemination.

Report on mapping indicators and composite indices relevant to measure transition performance

Research report on a overview of (i) indicator selection practices of existing measurement frameworks and of (ii) indicators that might be relevant to be included in a new dashboard structured according the four pillars of sustainable human development and are suitable to serve as individual items for a composite index.

Updated policy mapping on sustainability transition

Research report on an updated mapping of the main European and global policies/initiative fostering a sustainability transition, representing the setting in which the project's research activities are embedded and its target in terms of policy impact.

Working paper on “Innovative methods for the four pillars of sustainable human development”

Working paper (open access) on alternative data to measure transition performance through real-time, distributed, complex sources, proposing dedicated computational methods as the use of statistical learning, data-driven algorithms and interpretable artificial intelligence, to analyse existing and novel data, to explore the drivers and determinants of transition, moving beyond a purely performance assessment framework.

Policy briefing on tools to foster social resilience during transition processes

Policy briefing offering lessons learned and implications to foster social resilience during transition processes

Report on mapping, harmonising and integrating novel data sources for research purposes

Research report providing an evaluation of complex and novel data sources and associated methods that can be repurposed for the development of innovative measurement framework and advancing an appropriate harmonization and integration strategy of both existing and new data sources.

Policy briefing on the role of productivity-enhancement for the sustainability transition at local level

Policy briefing providing lessons learned and implications about productivity-enhancement strategies for the sustainability transition

Working paper on “Modelling and simulating the synergies and trade-offs related to sustainability transitions”

Working paper (open access) on a structured synthesis and assessment of the trade-offs and synergies between the social, economic, and environmental dimensions of sustainability transitions, as well as quantitative modelling and simulation methods to understand and analyse such theoretical synergies and trade-offs.

Working paper on “Efficiency and distributional impacts of carbon pricing across sectors in Europe: updated evidence on the EU ETS and its interaction with the European Social Climate Fund”

Working paper (open access) on the results of in-depth secondary data analysis on carbon prices, novel policies, changing social landscape to assess the effectiveness and social fairness of EU market-based instruments in tackling climate change.

Policy briefing on the impact of climate policies on social transition

Policy briefing collecting lessons learned and policy implications about the impact of climate policies on social transition

Working paper on “The distributional effects of European climate policies on Global South”

Working paper (open access) on the results of empirical analysis on the distributional effects of climate policies, verifying whether the CBAM has contributed to improve the climate policy framework of EU and Global South countries.

Working paper on “What do citizens’ want? Defining the sustainability transition from below”

Working paper (open access) on the elements of well-being and development that are important within transition processes to individuals located in different institutional and socio-economic contexts.

Working paper on “Understanding and assessing CBAM: vulnerability and impacts in the EU”

Working paper (open access) on the current impact of climate policy mechanisms on European countries and territories.

Policy briefing on synergies and trade-offs in the making of a just transition

Policy briefing on lessons learned and implications deriving from synergies and trade-offs in the making of a just transition.

Working paper on “The nexus between productivity and sustainable development in Europe”

Working paper (open access) on the results from robust econometric analysis of data at sector level, and local level about productivity-enhancement for the sustainability transition.

SPES Website

Multilingual and accessible website to give a comprehensive presentation of the project, offering information about goals and management structure, activities, and events, as well as academic and non-academic outputs as the project progresses (incl. working papers, policy briefings, etc.).

SPES Podcast

Podcast of 10 episodes (with an average length of each episode around 20 min), published in 4 tranches of 2 episodes each plus 2 pilot episodes to present the project. The specific aim of the podcast will be to present to a general audience the main issues addressed by the project and the contribution of the project in terms of achieved results. The podcast will benefit from the contribution of SPES researchers as well as from the intervention of qualified external experts.

Development of SPESExplorer

open access web-service platform hosting interactive spatial data visualizations, dashboards, data, and scenario services.

Pubblicazioni

Beyond the numbers: what composite indices reveal – and conceal – about trade-offs and synergies in sustainability transitions

Autori: Combarnous, François; Meunié, André; Rougier, Eric
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15241471

Placing Sustainable and Inclusive Wellbeing at the heart of the economy: from research to transformative policy

Autori: BIGGERI, MARIO; De Bonfils, Laura; Ferrannini, Andrea; Hirvilammi, Tuuli; Greselin, Alessia; Iivonen, Saija
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.18480265

Towards a consensus on measuring transition performances within a Sustainable Human Development paradigm

Autori: BIGGERI, MARIO; Ferrannini, Andrea; Gábos, András; Grande, Camilla Sofia; Lelkes, Orsolya; Palencia-Esteban, Amaia; Rougier, Eric
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.14780742

Policy frameworks for sustainability transitions: Mapping approaches in the European Union and the Global South

Autori: Schoyen, Mi Ah; Cammeo, Jacopo; Dessy, Sylvain Eloi; Gjerstad, Mona; Allen, Sandra; Dokken, Therese; Lodi, Luca
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10696601

Sustainable Energy Futures: Transition Scenarios and Instruments in Selected Case Study Regions

Autori: Zens, Gregor; Hoffman, Roman; Alain, Marjorie; Belmin, Camille
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.13986556

Review of the most likely risks and shocks in Europe

Autori: Palencia-Esteban, Amaia; Valentini, Annaelena
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15395239

Policy Brief n° 5 - Reducing Climate Risks through Just Transition Policies

Autori: Salgado, María José Cota; Waitkus, Nora
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17235403

SPES Explorer European Pressing Issues Dashboard

Autori: Belmin, Camille; Cuccaro, Filippo; Lauseker, Konstanze; Honkaniemi, Sanna; Belmin, Camille1 ORCID icon Cuccaro, Filippo2 Lauseker, Konstanze1 Honkaniemi, Sanna4 Palla, Barbara
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.18479792

"SPES Policy Brief n.1 - The ""winds of change"": Fostering Sustainable Human Development in Europe"

Autori: BIGGERI, MARIO; Ferrannini, Andrea
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10696664

"The ""winds of change"": the SPES framework on Sustainable Human Development"

Autori: BIGGERI, MARIO; Ferrannini, Andrea; Lodi, Luca; Cammeo, Jacopo; Francescutto, Adam
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10696576

Reports on the SPES policy dialogues

Autori: Cuccaro, Filippo; de Bonfils, Laura; Ferrannini, Andrea; BIGGERI, MARIO
Editore: Eu Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.19109215

Trade-Offs in Public Support for Climate Action? The Role of Environmental and Economic Shocks

Autori: Hoffmann, Roman; Belmin, Camille; Peisker, Jonas; Zens, Gregor
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17235192

Report on mapping, harmonising and integrating novel data sources for research purposes

Autori: Ballerini, Veronica; Beraldo, Davide; Bocci, Chiara; Braito, Lisa; Milana, Roberta; ROCCO, EMILIA; Trans, Martin
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10696912

"Conceptualizing ""SPES"" policy mix(es) for just twin transitions: Policy mapping on Science, Technology, and Innovation initiatives in Europe and other countries"

Autori: CALOFFI, ANNALISA; Lodi, Luca; BIGGERI, MARIO
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10894188

Policy Brief n°7 - Bridging the Feasibility Gap in Energy Transitions: Policy Insights from MultiCountry Stakeholder Consultations

Autori: Alain, Marjorie; Reuter, Katja
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17590490

Report on mapping indicators and composite indices relevant to measure transition performances

Autori: Gábos, András; Lelkes, Orsolya; Cammeo, Jacopo
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10696538

A GVAR analysis of the macroeconomic effects of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism in the Global South

Autori: Salisu, Afees; ADEDIRAN, IDRIS
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15194468

The distributional effects of European climate policies in the Global South A model-assessment for Egypt

Autori: Dávalos, Jorge; Henseler, Martin; Maisonnave, Helene
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15555309

Assessing measurement challenges and sensitivity in transition performance indicators - SPES Focus

Autori: Palencia-Esteban, Amaia; Salas-Rojo, Pedro; Brunori, Paolo; Lodi, Luca
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.12685515

European energy divide: exploring determinants and dynamics of energy poverty

Autori: Krstić, Gorana; Vladisavljević, Marko; Vuksanović, Nemanja; Žarković, Jelena
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.13143675

The transition from below: Aspirations, problems and policy solutions across the globe

Autori: Mørstad Johansen, Simen; Milan, Stefania ; Schoyen, Mi Ah; Ahmed, Vaqar; Bernát, Anikó; Bonelli, Federico; Calyaneratne, Menaca; Cuccaro, Filippo;De Silva, Neelakshi; Ferrannini, Andrea ; GIROLETTI, Toa; Gunatilleke, Neranjana; Kitamura, Meg;
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.18403522

SPES Policy Brief n.2 - Redefining progress to go beyond GDP in Europe

Autori: Ottaviani, Francesco; Grande, Camilla Sofia; Calzaroni, Manlio
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.11191745

Public Attention Towards Sustainability in the EU: An Exploration of Google Trends Data

Autori: Beraldo, Davide; Svensson, Nora
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.14779035

Beyond Technical Feasibility: Cross- National Stakeholder Perspectives on Energy Transitions

Autori: Zens, Gregor; Gathecha, Vanessa; Alain, Marjorie
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.16631390

Environmental sustainability from below: Public opinions across the Globe

Autori: Dokken, Therese; Schoyen, Mi Ah; CAMMEO, JACOPO
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.14945088

Directions: Navigating Beyond-GDP Futures

Autori: Ferrannini, Andrea; GIROLETTI, Toa; Palla, Barbara; BIGGERI, MARIO
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.19109524

A European Agenda To Navigate Uncertain Times. How to Steer the EU Towards Wellbeing for All, Now and in the Future.

Autori: Hoekstra, Rutger; Barth, Jonathan; Bartolini, Stefano; Biggeri, Mario; Burger, Martijn; Ferrannini, Andrea; Häikiö, Liisa; Hirvilammi, Tuuli; Kaufmann, Raphael; Rayner, Laura; Reuter, Katja; Sarracino, Francesco
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.12731602

Mapping the policy mix in Europe: the case of energy efficiency in the residential sector

Autori: Souchard, Kevin; Miguelez, Ernest; Saint-Jean, Maider
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.13946064

The functioning and socio-economic impacts of the EU Emission Trading System: updated evidence and insights

Autori: Cammeo, Jacopo ; Ferrari, Albert; Borghesi, simone; Zens, Gregor; De Bonfils, Laura
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.12820584

Policy Brief n°4 - Generating a just and green transition Aligning innovation and competitiveness policies in Europe with sustainability priorities

Autori: CALOFFI, ANNALISA; BIGGERI, MARIO; Ferrannini, Andrea; Lodi, Luca
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17235322

Policy Brief n°8 - Sustaining climate action: towards synergy politics for durable political support

Autori: Funalot, Pierre; Hoffmann, Roman; Peisker, Jonas; Rougier, Eric; SAINT JEAN, Maïder
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.18401551

Global Sustainability in an Interconnected World: The Role of the EU in Trade and Value Chains

Autori: Lodi, Luca; CALOFFI, ANNALISA; Balarezo Nuñez, Remy Michael; Ho Quoc, Thong; BIGGERI, MARIO
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.18479903

Green technology and productivity in European regions: the role of technological and scientific capabilities

Autori: Souchard, Kevin; Miguelez, Ernest; Saint-Jean, Maider
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15554790

Policy Brief n° 6 - Effective, Fair and Inclusive Climate Policies in Europe and in the Global South Challenges and way forward

Autori: CAMMEO, JACOPO; Ferrari, Albert
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17235484

"""Place Matters"": Environmental awareness and public support to transition policies in Latin America"

Autori: Carrère, Sébastien; Mathieu, Clément;Cuenot, Sébstien; Rougier, Eric
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.18480088

Biased Perceptions of Energy Consumption in the European Union

Autori: Zens, Gregor; Belmin, Camille; Hoffmann, Roman
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15555350

SPES Policy Brief n.3 - Seeing Sustainability Differently: New Metrics and Ethical Data Governance for a Just Transition

Autori: Milan, Stefania
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15363400

Vulnerabilities in Europe During Times of Transition

Autori: Palencia-Esteban, Amaia; Brunori, Paolo
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15555250

Transitioning towards Harmonious Living: A Society-Economy-Nature model with heterogeneous agents, finite resources and politics (SEN-HARP) for Europe-27

Autori: Funalot, Pierre; Rougier, Eric; SAINT JEAN, Maïder
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.14945253

Understanding and assessing CBAM: vulnerability and impacts in the EU

Autori: CAMMEO, JACOPO; Ferrari, Albert; BORGHESI, SIMONE; Dokken, Therese
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: EU Open Research Repository
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15101640

Rising income inequality across half of global population and socioecological implications

Autori: Daniel Chrisendo, Venla Niva, Roman Hoffmann, Sina Masoumzadeh Sayyar, Juan Rocha, Vilma Sandström, Frederick Solt, Matti Kummu
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, Numero 8, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41893-025-01689-4

Nature Communications

Autori: Roman Hoffmann; Omkar Patange; Caroline Zimm; Shonali Pachauri; Camille Belmin; Setu Pelz; Elina Brutschin; Jarmo S. Kikstra; Michael Kuhn; Jihoon Min; Raya Muttarak; Keywan Riahi; Thomas Schinko; Kian Mintz-Woo
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-60195-5

Policymakers’ perceptions of the wellbeing economy: emerging patterns and trade-offs in implementation

Autori: Stefano Turrini, Mario Biggeri, Imke Schmidt, Henning Wilts
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Sustainability, Numero 7, 2026, ISSN 2673-4524
Editore: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FRSUS.2026.1772812

Climate change and population: Demographic perspectives on the 21st century’s defining challenge

Autori: Roman Hoffmann, Liliana Andriano, Erich Striessnig, Tobias Rüttenauer, Marion Borderon, Kathryn Grace
Pubblicato in: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Numero 22, 2025, ISSN 1728-4414
Editore: Osterreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften, Verlag
DOI: 10.1553/P-NFJC-Z82H

Subnational variations in the quality of household survey data in sub-Saharan Africa

Autori: Valentin Seidler, Edson C. Utazi, Amelia B. Finaret, Sebastian Luckeneder, Gregor Zens, Maksym Bodarenko, Abigail W. Smith, Sarah E. K. Bradley, Andrew J. Tatem, Patrick Webb
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-58776-5

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide

Autori: Sarah Schöngart; Zebedee Nicholls; Roman Hoffmann; Setu Pelz; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000735849

Analysing transitions towards sustainability and human development in European regions

Autori: Mario Biggeri; Adam Francescutto; Lucia Ferrone; Andrea Ferrannini
Pubblicato in: Regional Studies, Regional Science, 2025, ISSN 2168-1376
Editore: Taylor & Francis
DOI: 10.6084/M9.FIGSHARE.28504617

Subnational survey data reveal persistent gaps in living standards across 75 low and middle-income countries

Autori: Roman Hoffmann, Omkar Patange, Caroline Zimm, Shonali Pachauri, Camille Belmin, Setu Pelz, Elina Brutschin, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Michael Kuhn, Jihoon Min, Raya Muttarak, Keywan Riahi, Thomas Schinko, Kian Mintz-Woo
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-60195-5

Material footprint and import dependency in EU27: Past trends and future challenges

Autori: Distefano, T.; Lodi, L.; Biggeri, M.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Cleaner Production, 2024, ISSN 1879-1786
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.JCLEPRO.2024.143384

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