Climate Variability and Security Threats

Project Information

CLIMSEC

Grant agreement ID: 648291

DOI

10.3030/648291

Project closed

EC signature date 10 June 2015

Start date 1 September 2015

End date 30 June 2021

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost

€ 1 996 945,00

EU contribution

€ 1 996 945,00

Coordinated by

INSTITUTT FOR FREDSFORSKNING
Norway

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (26)

Climate variability, crop and conflict: Exploring the impacts of spatial concentration in agricultural production

Author(s): Paola Vesco, Matija Kovacic, Malcolm Mistry, Mihai Croicu
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 58/1, 2021, Page(s) 98-113, ISSN 0022-3433
Publisher: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/0022343320971020

Civil War and Female Empowerment

Author(s): Ingrid Vik Bakken, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Journal of Conflict Resolution, Issue 65/5, 2021, Page(s) 982-1009, ISSN 0022-0027
Publisher: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/0022002720983409

Climatic conditions are weak predictors of asylum migration

Author(s): Sebastian Schutte, Jonas Vestby, Jørgen Carling, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 12/1, 2021, Page(s) 2067, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22255-4

Directions for Research on Climate and Conflict

Author(s): Katharine J. Mach, W. Neil Adger, Halvard Buhaug, Marshall Burke, James D. Fearon, Christopher B. Field, Cullen S. Hendrix, Caroline M. Kraan, Jean‐Francois Maystadt, John O'Loughlin, Philip Roessler, Jürgen Scheffran, Kenneth A. Schultz, Nina Uexkull
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 8/7, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001532

A Conditional Model of Local Income Shock and Civil Conflict

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Nina von Uexkull
Published in: The Journal of Politics, Issue 83/1, 2021, Page(s) 354-366, ISSN 0022-3816
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1086/709671

Why do some poor countries see armed conflict while others do not? A dual sector approach

Author(s): Jonas Vestby, Halvard Buhaug, Nina von Uexkull
Published in: World Development, Issue 138, 2021, Page(s) 105273, ISSN 0305-750X
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105273

GDIS, a global dataset of geocoded disaster locations

Author(s): Elisabeth L. Rosvold, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Scientific Data, Issue 8/1, 2021, ISSN 2052-4463
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-021-00846-6

Environmental stress and agricultural landownership in Africa

Author(s): Andrew M. Linke, Andreas Forø Tollefsen
Published in: Global Environmental Change, Issue 67, 2021, Page(s) 102237, ISSN 0959-3780
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102237

Identifying the effect of climate variability on communal conflict through randomization

Author(s): Jonas Nordkvelle, Siri Aas Rustad, Monika Salmivalli
Published in: Climatic Change, Issue 141/4, 2017, Page(s) 627-639, ISSN 0165-0009
Publisher: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1914-3

Climate Change and Violence: Insights from Political Science

Author(s): Ole Magnus Theisen
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 3/4, 2017, Page(s) 210-221, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-017-0079-5

The consequences of relocating in response to drought: human mobility and conflict in contemporary Kenya

Author(s): A M Linke, F D W Witmer, J O’Loughlin, J T McCabe, J Tir
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/9, 2018, Page(s) 094014, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad8cc

Bridging Research and Policy on Climate Change and Conflict

Author(s): Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Lauren Herzer Risi, Elizabeth Tennant, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 4/4, 2018, Page(s) 313-319, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0119-9

Climate Change and Conflict: Taking Stock

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, Issue 22/4, 2016, ISSN 1079-2457
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG
DOI: 10.1515/peps-2016-0034

Civil conflict sensitivity to growing-season drought

Author(s): Nina von Uexkull, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 113/44, 2016, Page(s) 12391-12396, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607542113

Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T Waldhoff, Elisabeth Gilmore
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 11/5, 2016, Page(s) 054002, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002

Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict

Author(s): Katharine J. Mach, Caroline M. Kraan, W. Neil Adger, Halvard Buhaug, Marshall Burke, James D. Fearon, Christopher B. Field, Cullen S. Hendrix, Jean-Francois Maystadt, John O’Loughlin, Philip Roessler, Jürgen Scheffran, Kenneth A. Schultz, Nina von Uexkull
Published in: Nature, Issue 571/7764, 2019, Page(s) 193-197, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1300-6

On Growth Projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug, Jonas Vestby
Published in: Global Environmental Politics, Issue 19/4, 2019, Page(s) 118-132, ISSN 1526-3800
Publisher: MIT Press
DOI: 10.1162/glep_a_00525

Development Aid, Drought, and Coping Capacity

Author(s): Siri Aas Rustad, Elisabeth Lio Rosvold, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: The Journal of Development Studies, 2019, Page(s) 1-16, ISSN 0022-0388
Publisher: Frank Cass Publishers
DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2019.1696958

Climate variability and individual motivations for participating in political violence

Author(s): Jonas Vestby
Published in: Global Environmental Change, Issue 56, 2019, Page(s) 114-123, ISSN 0959-3780
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.04.001

Disaggregated determinants of aid: Development aid projects in the Philippines

Author(s): Elisabeth L. Rosvold
Published in: Development Policy Review, 2019, ISSN 0950-6764
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/dpr.12465

Machine Learning and the Police: Asking the Right Questions

Author(s): Annette Vestby, Jonas Vestby
Published in: Policing: A Journal of Policy and Practice, 2019, ISSN 1752-4512
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/police/paz035

Ethno-political favouritism in maternal health care service delivery: Micro-level evidence from sub-Saharan Africa, 1981–2014

Author(s): Ole Magnus Theisen, Håvard Strand, Gudrun Østby
Published in: International Area Studies Review, Issue 23/1, 2020, Page(s) 3-27, ISSN 2233-8659
Publisher: SAGE Publications Inc.
DOI: 10.1177/2233865919895862

Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda

Author(s): Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: WIREs Climate Change, Issue 12/5, 2021, Page(s) e722, ISSN 1757-7780
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.722

Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress

Author(s): Nina von Uexkull, Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 58/1, 2021, Page(s) 3-17, ISSN 0022-3433
Publisher: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/0022343320984210

Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug, Nina von Uexkull
Published in: Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Issue 46/1, 2021, ISSN 1543-5938
Publisher: Annual Reviews, Inc.
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-014708

Group organization, elections and urban political mobilization in the developing world

Author(s): Henry Thomson, Halvard Buhaug, Henrik Urdal, Elisabeth Rosvold
Published in: Democratization, 2021, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 1351-0347
Publisher: Frank Cass Publishers
DOI: 10.1080/13510347.2021.1944117

Book chapters (3)

Maintaining Security: What Can Be Done to Prevent the Pressures of Climate Change Leading to Conflict?

Author(s): Elisabeth Gilmore, Halvard Buhaug, Håvard Hegre
Published in: Climate 2020: Rising to the Challenge, 2016, Page(s) 102-103, ISBN 978-0-9929223-8-2
Publisher: Witan Media Ltd on behalf of United Nations Association – UK

Tracing armed conflict over time: A reversal of the recent decline?

Author(s): Håvard Strand and Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Peace and Conflict 2017, 2018, Page(s) 16-22, ISBN 9781-857439328
Publisher: Routledge

Food insecurity and political instability

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Future Scenarios of Global Cooperation – Practices and Challenges, 2017, Page(s) 105-112, ISSN 2198-1957
Publisher: Käte Hamburger Kolleg / Centre for Global Cooperation Research
DOI: 10.14282/2198-0403-GD-14

Other (4)

A Climate of Conflicts?

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug, Ida Rudolfsen
Published in: PRIO Policy Brief, 2015, ISBN 978-82-7288-614-0
Publisher: PRIO

Urban Social Disorder: An Update

Author(s): Karim Bahgat, Halvard Buhaug, and Henrik Urdal
Published in: PRIO Paper, 2018
Publisher: PRIO

PRIO-GRID v.2.0 Codebook

Author(s): Andreas F. Tollefsen, Karim Bahgat, Jonas Nordkvelle, and Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Codebook, 2016
Publisher: PRIO

Global Security Challenges of Climate Change

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug
Published in: Toda Peace Institute Policy Brief, Issue 18, 2018
Publisher: Toda Peace Institute

Thesis and dissertations (2)

Climate, development, and conflict: Learning from the past and mapping uncertainties of the future

Author(s): Jonas Nordkvelle
Published in: 2018
Publisher: University of Oslo

Coping with Calamity: Natural Disasters, Armed Conflict and Development Aid

Author(s): Elisabeth Lio Rosvold
Published in: 2019
Publisher: NTNU