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CORDIS - Resultados de investigaciones de la UE
CORDIS

REmote Climate Effects and their Impact on European sustainability, Policy and Trade

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Data management plan (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

"Developed at the beginning of the project and reviewed periodically. Initial version of DMP; M18,M30,M42: yearly review of DMP. The consortium will look into the ethics and privacy concerns for all data collected and used in the project. The consortium will use the ""How to complete your ethics Self-Assessment"" (http://ec.europa.eu/research/participants/portal/doc/call/h2020/h2020-msca-itn-2015/1620147-h2020_-_guidance_ethics_self_assess_en.pdf) document as a guideline. The DMP will incorporate measures to mitigate ethics and privacy concerns, in particular those related to personal data and data coming from third countries."

Successful simulation of three baseline storylines with acclimate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

The three outof the five baseline storylines that were developed in deliverable 61 have been simulated with the numerical economic model Acclimate on the observed economic network of the past and compared to observations task 631

Assessment of correlated aspects of hotspot responses to climate change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Drawing on the assessments of the effect of climate change on the storylines for each sector performed within the sectoral WPs, ensure physical consistency between those assessments and identify any correlated (including potentially anti-correlated) risks. The latter will be done by identifying common physical drivers of the different circulation regimes.

Report on assessing storylines for future risks for public and private finance under future scenarios (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

"The deliverable will present the assessment of storylines for future impacts on public private finance under the RECEIPT ""Paris Scenarios."""

risks posed by future climate variability to development, stability and resilience of strategic countries (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report will summarise the impacts of future climate change and variability on development, resilience and socio-political stability of the EU partner countries and regions selected in the task T5.1.

Report on current risks for public and private finance (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

RThe deliverable will present the assessment of storylines for current impacts on i public finance CATSIM and ii private finance in particular on insurance CLIMADA DIFI international equity GDyn and foreign direct investment FTAP

Direct and indirect Economic effects to infrastructure from sea level rise and arctic sea ice extent (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable describes the effects from SLR scenario and ice extent projection on coastal and regional SLR and sea ice extent on coastal infrastructure and shipping routes, respectively. Each scenario will be assessed using different adaptation options and shows how risk can be reduce by adaptation (Task 7.4).

storylines on climate change induced risk of selected EU strategic partner countries (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

It will summarise the co-created storylines (content) on climate change induced risk to sustainable development and climate resilience of selected EU strategic partner countries and how they were developed (process). The report will be produced to enable assessing coherence of the storylines developed across the various sectors (WP3-7). It will contain the results of the desk review, consultations with societal stakeholders and the workshop held by WP5.

risks posed by current climate variability to development, stability and resilience of strategic countries (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report will summarise the results of an analyse of how current climate variability and observed climate change affected development progress resilience to weather and climate related shocks and sociopolitical stability of the EU partner countries and regions selected in the task T51

Development of adaptation measures and verification of effectiveness using Acclimate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Adaptation measures to reduce vulnerability and increase resilience are developed: Adaptation measures that reduce the economic impact of remote weather extremes have been developed and tested in Acclimate (task 6.4). The effectiveness of the measure was demonstrated and verified within the numerical model Acclimate.

Future climate scenario's: SLR and sea ice extent (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable describes the development of future SLR and sea ice extent scenarios Each SLR contributor sea level contributors eg thermal expansion instability Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets glaciers ocean circulation and land water storage will be included in the assessment KNMI Task 74 Sea ice extent will be derived from CMIP56

Report on policy recommendations (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report on policy recommendations summarising the existing and identifying new opportunities the EU has to protect itself from remote climate change impacts

Communication and visualization strategy (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

The strategy will be developed together with NLeSc and with contributions from other project partners Emphasis will be on using interactive webbased visual tools for exploration of climate change impact scenarios and stories

Storylines and the assessment of policy strategies to adapt against and explore the biophysical and potential of climate events (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable presents the outcomes of the storylines from the stakeholders/users perspective and provides the relevance to different EU policies including policy strategy options to adapt against spill-over climate impacts (outcome of Task 3.5).

Agro-food Storylines description (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable presents the storylines describing how the European agro-food economy and food security might be impacted by climate change related to the EU’s global dependency on agricultural products. It will map and assess a selection of key-traded agricultural products and producing regions (outcome of Task 3.1).

External guidance on storyline development based on RECEIPT research and lessons learnt (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Define a generalized approach for constructing storylines for other contexts beyond the ones in the scope of this proposal. Linked to task 2.5.

Current climate: Flood risk and sea ice simulations for different storylines (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable is a report that describes the results from a modelling exercise to simulate flood risk for different storylines assuming the current climate IVM Task 73 This includes both direct damages to European coastal infrastructure and indirect economic effects from storm surges In addition changes in sea ice extent scenarios will be used to assess the effect on shipping routes using a CGE model CCMC Task 73 Economic impacts of the European level NUTS2 will be presented and compared with the national scale analysis for the UK using the innovative UK Future Flood Explorer FFE SPL Task 73

Assessment of the value of storylines for stakeholders (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Assessment of the value of the developed storylines in enhancing stakeholders’ understanding about climate change impacts and informing their decision-making through stakeholder interviews. Linked to task 2.4.

Storylines development and description incl. hotspot selection (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable presents storylines and selects hotspots jointly with WP2 for studying the impacts on European public and private finance caused by climate induced or amplified natural disasters outside the EU and in EU outermost regions and overseas territories.

Storylines description (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable is an internal report describing the storylines and dependencies between impacts to European coastal infrastructure from changes in sea level rise and sea ice extent. The report will be based on an expert workshop, literature review, and the outcome of the kick off meeting (Tasks 7.1 and 7.2), and will qualitatively map both the direct damages to coastal infrastructure and indirect economic effects. In addition, effects from changing sea ice on shipping routes will be assessed.

Report on the assessment of biophysical, social and economic impacts of key-imported products' climate change vulnerability to EU's food security and agri-food economy (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable presents social and economic impacts of climate change susceptibilities of the key-traded agricultural products to the EU’s food security and agro-food economy (outcome of Task 3.4).

Synthesis report on future risks and options for building resilience for public and private finance (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

The report will synthesize climate impacts and risks across the finance channels examined in the previous WP4 tasks and lay out policy recommendations for building resilience in close cooperation with WP8.

Generic internal guidance on storyline development (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

A generic internal guidance document on how to construct storylines (including avoiding biases amongst experts, ensuring causality, etc.) based on review storyline development across scientific fields, including physical climate sciences, environmental modelling and other fields. Linked to task 2.1.

Synthesis report on future risks and adaptation options for building resilience in strategic countries (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report will synthesize the current and future risks identified throughout Task 5.1-5.4 in the selected partner countries and regions, and rank them based on the perceived importance of the partners’ societal organisation, and explore to what extent the EU external actions on development and humanitarian aid may counteract these threats.

Report on climate change impacts on imported crops in producing regions (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable presents climate change impacts on crop yields in the selected hotspot locations and assesses the impact of compound events on the EU. It will further consider the EU’s external dependency based on future projections of the EU’s demand, climate suitability, and land and water availability under climate change (outcome of Task 3.3).

Report on cumulative expenditure incurred (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

With the last reporting period extended from 18 to 22 months, a ‘report on cumulative expenditure incurred’ is necessary (Art.20.5) to be submitted in the form of a deliverable in November.

Policy briefs (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Policy briefs conveying the message of policy recommendations documented in Deliverable 8.3

Side event report (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Report from organized/co-organized side events/parallel sessions contributing to policy coherence and cohesive resilience in Europe

Pan-European risk assessment (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Pan-European risk assessment (report) on the combined effects of sectorial impacts arising from future climate change and variability from outside of Europe

Simulation of future storylines under different socio-economic scenarios with Acclimate model (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

The simulation of the three future storylines under different socio-economic scenarios is accomplished (task 6.3.2): The three storylines have been projected into the future under different socio-economic assumptions including model-parameter uncertainty. The scientific publication is being prepared.

Report on current vulnerabilities and sensitivities (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

This deliverable presents current vulnerabilities of the keytraded crops from the perspective of water scarcity in the crop producing regions and historical impacts of extreme weather events in producing regions outcome of Task 32

SAB review minutes M36 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Minutes Societal Advisory Board review M36; will be available before 2nd progress report covering M19-M36

SAB review minutes M18 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Minutes of Review meeting Societal Advisory board will be available before 1st Progress report covering M1M18

Sectoral harmonisation report (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Harmonisation report on efforts undertaken to make the sectorial analysis in WP3-WP7 consistent in terms of socio-economic assumptions and representation of climate impacts and conducive to a comprehensive EU wide analysis

Initial mapping of global climate hotspot areas in WP3-7 contexts (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Initial mapping of global climate hotspot areas, aiming to achieve a balance between representing the most important climate vulnerabilities for each sector, limiting the list of hotspots to a manageable number, and understanding the relationships between different hotspots (e.g. water availability and agricultural drought in the same region). Linked to task 2.2.

Interactive game (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Interactive online game to illustrate the vulnerabilities of stakeholders in different sectors to remote climate change impacts.

RECEIPT Website (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

RECEIPT website will give visibility to the storylines and contain all relevant project information. Access points to the storyline visualization tools developed by NLeSc will be integrated in the website.

Storyline teller tool (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

An online visualization tool that enables users to explore storylines and gain insight into the effects of climate change scenarios.

Logo and visual identity (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

An attractive logo and visual identity

Communication campaign (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Communication campaign disseminating the project results towards policy-makers, stakeholders and media using the visual tools developed.

Storyline video (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

A video showing the dependency of the EU on external direct and indirect factors and therefore its vulnerability to remote climate impacts

Storyline builder tool (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

A dynamic webbased tool for scientists to document storyline creation

Publicaciones

Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Theresa Falkendal, Christian Otto, Jacob Schewe, Jonas Jägermeyr, Megan Konar, Matti Kummu, Ben Watkins, Michael J. Puma
Publicado en: Nature Food, Edición 2/1, 2021, Página(s) 11-14, ISSN 2662-1355
Editor: Nature Food
DOI: 10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7

Finance for Loss and Damage: a comprehensive risk analytical approach (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Reinhard Mechler; T. Deubelli
Publicado en: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 1877-3435
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.cosust.2021.03.012

Changes in fiscal risk against natural disasters due to Covid-19 (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler
Publicado en: Progress in Disaster Science, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 2590-0617
Editor: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2021.100176

Risk-Layering for Indirect Effects (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler; Karina Reiter
Publicado en: International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 2212-4209
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1007/s13753-021-00366-2

A framework for building climate storylines based on downward counterfactuals: The case of the European Union Solidarity fund (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Alessio Ciullo; Alessio Ciullo; Olivia Martius; Eric Strobl; David N. Bresch; David N. Bresch
Publicado en: Climate Risk Management, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 2212-0963
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4733670

Evaluation of river flood extent simulated with multiple global hydrological models and climate forcings (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Benedikt Mester; Benedikt Mester; Sven Willner; Katja Frieler; Jacob Schewe
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac188d

Drivers of Interannual Sea Level Variability on the Northwestern European Shelf (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Tim H. J. Hermans, Dewi Le Bars, Caroline A. Katsman, Carolina M. L. Camargo, Theo Gerkema, Francisco M. Calafat, Jonathan Tinker, Aimée B. A. Slangen
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Edición 125/10, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Editor: Journal of GeophysicalResearch: Oceans
DOI: 10.1029/2020jc016325

Correlations Between Sea‐Level Components Are Driven by Regional Climate Change (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Erwin Lambert, Dewi Le Bars, Heiko Goelzer, Roderik S.W. van de Wal
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 9/2, 2021, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001825

Event‐Based Storylines to Address Climate Risk (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Jana Sillmann, Theodore G. Shepherd, Bart van den Hurk, Wilco Hazeleger, Olivia Martius, Julia Slingo, Jakob Zscheischler
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 9/2, 2021, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001783

Extreme Events in a Globalized Food System (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Franziska Gaupp
Publicado en: One Earth, Edición 2/6, 2020, Página(s) 518-521, ISSN 2590-3322
Editor: CellPress
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.06.001

Ripple resonance amplifies economic welfare loss from weather extremes (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Kilian Kuhla; Sven Willner; Christian Otto; Tobias Geiger; Anders Levermann
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2932

Stressed economies respond more strongly to climate extremes (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Robin Middelanis, Sven Norman Willner, Kilian Kuhla, Lennart Quante, Christian Otto, Anders Levermann
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 18, 2023, Página(s) 094034, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acec5e

Living with sea-level rise in North-West Europe: Science-policy challenges across scales (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Bart van den Hurk, Alexander Bisaro, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Robert J. Nicholls, Katrin Rehdanz, Dana Stuparu
Publicado en: Climate Risk Management, Edición 35, 2022, Página(s) 100403, ISSN 2212-0963
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100403

Impacts of Climate Change and Remote Natural Catastrophes on EU Flood Insurance Markets: An Analysis of Soft and Hard Reinsurance Markets for Flood Coverage (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Max Tesselaar, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Publicado en: Atmosphere, Edición 11/2, 2020, Página(s) 146, ISSN 2073-4433
Editor: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos11020146

Communicating potentially large but non‐robust changes in multi‐model projections of future climate (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Giuseppe Zappa, Emanuele Bevacqua, Theodore G. Shepherd
Publicado en: International Journal of Climatology, Edición 41/6, 2021, Página(s) 3657-3669, ISSN 0899-8418
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7041

Small is beautiful: climate-change science as if people mattered (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Regina R Rodrigues, Theodore G Shepherd
Publicado en: PNAS Nexus, Edición 1, 2024, ISSN 2752-6542
Editor: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac009

Increasing countries’ financial resilience through global catastrophe risk pooling (se abrirá en una nueva ventana)

Autores: Alessio Ciullo, Eric Strobl, Simona Meiler, Olivia Martius, David N. Bresch
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-36539-4

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