Co-production of Climate Services for East Africa

Informazioni relative al progetto

CONFER

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 869730

DOI

10.3030/869730

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 16 Aprile 2020

Data di avvio 1 Settembre 2020

Data di completamento 30 Settembre 2024

Finanziato da

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials

Costo totale

€ 6 999 177,50

Contributo UE

€ 6 999 177,50

Coordinato da

NORCE RESEARCH AS
Norway

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Documents, reports (26)

Crop modeling prototype

Proof of concept prototype (manuscript) for the application of crop modelling advances to seasonal forecasting in East Africa

Report on the landscape of climate products and services in the region
Manuscript on machine learning

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for using an expanded feature set and machine learning approaches to postprocess seasonal forecasts

Report on the potential usability of the climate services

Report on the potential usability of the climate services in other organisations in Task 1.4

Minutes from first annual meeting

Minutes from first annual meeting including SAC meeting

Minutes from CONFER end conference

Summary and recording of the conference and policy workshop co-organised with the sister projects FOCUS-Africa and DOWN2EARTH

Perspective paper

A perspective paper with recommendations for climate services in Africa, based on experiences from CONFER. To be co-written by the steering committee.

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Second version of the PEDR

Second version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists in Task 49

Manuscript on improvements in downscaled seasonal forecast skill
Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques

Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques and combining dynamical and statistical forecasts

Capacity Building and Training Plan

Capacity Building and Training Plan developed in Task 41

Report on enhanced WRF-Hydro

Report on enhanced WRFHydro model version adapted to the East African hydroclimatology

First policy brief
Report on the climate services

Report on the climate services developed and the steps taken in their co-development (month 42). This deliverable is linked to Task 1.3. and ICPAC is responsible.

Interim report on training

Interim report on the impact of the training in Tasks 43 44 47 and 410

Third version of the PEDR

Third version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

Manuscript on improving EMOS models

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for the application of an expanded feature set to improve on simple EMOS models

Manuscript on capacity building

Manuscript on impact of the training, lessons learnt and any remaining capability and capacity gaps.

Minutes from third annual meeting

Minutes from third annual meeting, including SAC meeting.

Second policy brief
Minutes from kick-off meeting

Minutes from kickoff meeting

Report on enhancing products and feedback channels in the region
Minutes from second annual meeting

Minutes from second annual meeting including SAC meeting

WRF Hydro prototype

Proof of concept prototype (manuscript) for the application of WRF-Hydro to seasonal forecasting in East Africa, in both offline and online modes

Other (3)

Establishment of committees

Establishment of Scientific Advisory Committee and Scientific Steering Committee

Software suite of forecast evaluation tools
Software for C3S forecasts

Software and teaching materials for acquiring, post-processing and visualizing C3S forecasts.

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Visual identity and web sites

Open Research Data Pilot (3)

Data Management Plan
Second version of Data Management Plan
Third version of the Data Management Plan

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (14)

Fidelity of CMIP6 Models in Simulating June–September Rainfall Climatology, Spatial and Trend Patterns Over Complex Topography of Greater Horn of Africa

Autori: Jima, W.L., Bahaga, T.K. & Tsidu, G.M.
Pubblicato in: Pure and Applied Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 1420-9136
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-023-03414-8

Subselection of seasonal ensemble precipitation predictions for East Africa

Autori: Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Silje Lund Sørland, Masilin Gudoshava, Eunice Koech, Titike K. Bahaga, Stefan Pieter Sobolowski
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numero Volume 149, Numero 755, 2023, Pagina/e 2634-2653, ISSN 1477-870X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4525

Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa

Autori: Benjamin Lamptey, Salah SAHABI ABED, Masilin Gudoshava, Joseph Mutemi, Mary-Jane Bopape, Elijah Adesanya Adefisan, Moudi Pascal Igri, Ibrah Seidou Sanda, Ousmane Ndiaye, Douglas J. Parker, Andrew J. Dougill, Andreas H. Fink, Peter Knippertz, Steve Woolnough, Erik W. Kolstad
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Sensitivity of Rainfall Extremes to Unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole Events

Autori: David MacLeod, Erik W. Kolstad, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105258

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Autori: Erik W. Kolstad, and David MacLeod
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

Spatiotemporal variability of soil moisture over Ethiopia and its teleconnections with remote and local drivers

Autori: Tamirat B. Jimma, Teferi Demissie, Gulilat T. Diro, Kassahun Ture, Tadesse Terefe & Dawit Solomon
Pubblicato in: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Numero 301, 2023, ISSN 0177-798X
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-022-04335-7

Regional water cycle sensitivity to afforestation: synthetic numerical experiments for tropical Africa

Autori: Joël Arnault, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Tanja Portele, Lu Li, Thomas Rummler, Benjamin Fersch, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Titike Kassa Bahaga, Zhenyu Zhang, Eric Mensah Mortey, Ifeany Chukwudi Achugbu8,9, Hassane Moutahir, Souleymane Sy, Jianhui Wei,Patrick Laux, Stefan Sobolowski and Harald Kunstmann
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, Numero Volume 5, 2023, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: Frontiers Media SA, [2019]-
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1233536

Enhanced hydrological modelling with the WRF-Hydro lake/reservoir module at Convection-Permitting scale: a case study of the Tana River basin in East Africa

Autori: Ling Zhang, Lu Li, Zhongshi Zhang, Joël Arnault, Stefan Sobolowski, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Pratik Kad, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Tanja Portele, Harald Kunstmann
Pubblicato in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2024, ISSN 1027-5606
Editore: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-2024-278

The 2019–21 drought in southern Madagascar

Autori: Rondrotiana Barimalala, Caroline Wainwright, Erik W. Kolstad, Teferi D. Demissie
Pubblicato in: Weather and Climate Extremes, Numero 46, 2024, Pagina/e 100723, ISSN 2212-0947
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100723

Co-ordinating agricultural adaptation: Seasonal forecasts and their influence on rural agricultural rhythms in Ethiopia

Autori: Mathias Venning, Bizuneh Bushaka
Pubblicato in: Time & Society, 2025, ISSN 0961-463X
Editore: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/0961463x241260554

Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts.

Autori: Michael Scheuerer, Titike K. Bahaga, Zewdu T. Segele & Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 1432-0894
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07085-y

Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains

Autori: Erik W. Kolstad, Douglas J. Parker, David A. MacLeod, Caroline M. Wainwright, Linda C. Hirons
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4829

Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa

Autori: Masilin Gudoshava, George Otieno, Eunice Koech, Herbert Misiani, Jemimah Gacheru Ongoma, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Calistus Wachana, Hussen Seid Endris, Anthony Mwanthi, Mary Kilavi, Emmah Mwangi, Andrew Colman, Douglas Parker, Joseph Nzau Mutemi, Paula Machio, Paulino Omoj Omay, Paul Ombai, Doreen Anande, Alfred Kondowe, Isaac Mugume, Prosper Ayabagabo, Houda Youssouf Houssein, Mahado Salah Wa
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, Numero 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1307535

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Autori: E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 48/14, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292