Skip to main content
Go to the home page of the European Commission (opens in new window)
English English
CORDIS - EU research results
CORDIS

Detection of Early seismic signal using ARtificiaL Intelligence

Project description

Detecting low-amplitude signals to anticipate earthquakes

Natural hazards such as earthquakes are difficult to predict. Dramatic developments in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), however, are paving the way for anticipating destructive events. The EU-funded EARLI project will use AI to identify weak, early seismic signals to both speed up early warning and explore the possibility of earthquake prediction. Specifically, it will implement an early-warning approach based on a newly identified signal, caused by the perturbation of the gravity field generated by an earthquake, which is ~6 orders of magnitude smaller than seismic waves (strongly limiting its detection with standard techniques), but precedes them. The second, more exploratory, objective will be to adapt the developed AI algorithm to search for even earlier signals preceding the origin of large earthquakes.

Objective

Earthquakes caused nearly one million fatalities in the last two decades. The hazardous nature of earthquakes is largely due to their unpredictability. The question of whether this unpredictability is ontological (i.e. earthquakes are a chaotic phenomenon that physics cannot predict) or a consequence of our incapacity to model them is still open. In the first case, one may never hope to predict earthquakes and efforts should be focused towards developing early-warning approaches so that the population can prepare for imminent shaking and tsunami. In the second case, earthquake prediction becomes theoretically achievable. In both cases, Artificial Intelligence (AI) may lead to giant steps in anticipating destructive events. I propose here to use AI to identify weak early seismic signals to both speed up early-warning and explore the possibility of earthquake prediction. The first part of the project will be devoted to implementing an early-warning approach not based on P-waves as all current systems but on an earlier signal recently identified. This signal is due to the perturbation of the gravity field generated by an earthquake – which propagates at the speed of light – but is ~6 orders of magnitude smaller than seismic waves, strongly limiting its detection with standard techniques. AI has proven very efficient at detecting low-amplitude signals. I will implement an AI algorithm to systematically detect gravity perturbations generated by magnitude > 7 earthquakes and rapidly estimate from them the location and magnitude of the earthquake. Though the existence of earthquake precursors (i.e. signals preceding the origin of earthquakes themselves) is hypothetical, AI represents a new prowerful mean to discover them. In the second part of the project, I will adapt the AI algorithm developed in the first part to search for earthquake precursors.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: https://op.europa.eu/en/web/eu-vocabularies/euroscivoc.

You need to log in or register to use this function

Keywords

Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)

Programme(s)

Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.

Topic(s)

Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.

Funding Scheme

Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.

ERC-STG - Starting Grant

See all projects funded under this funding scheme

Call for proposal

Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.

(opens in new window) ERC-2020-STG

See all projects funded under this call

Host institution

INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE POUR LE DEVELOPPEMENT
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 499 518,00
Address
BOULEVARD DE DUNKERQUE 44 CS 90009
13572 Marseille
France

See on map

Region
Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur Bouches-du-Rhône
Activity type
Research Organisations
Links
Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 1 499 518,00

Beneficiaries (1)

My booklet 0 0