DOWN2EARTH: Translation of climate information into multilevel decision support for social adaptation, policy development, and resilience to water scarcity in the Horn of Africa Drylands

Informazioni relative al progetto

DOWN2EARTH

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 869550

DOI

10.3030/869550

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 20 Aprile 2020

Data di avvio 1 Settembre 2020

Data di completamento 28 Febbraio 2025

Finanziato da

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials

Costo totale

€ 6 645 663,50

Contributo UE

€ 6 645 663,50

Coordinato da

CARDIFF UNIVERSITY
United Kingdom

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Demonstrators, pilots, prototypes (7)

WajihaCast mobile phone app for water/food forecasts to end-users (Task 3.4)

See Part A

Communication and Dissemination Plan (Task 6.1)

See Part A

Training workshops for ICPAC staff on CUWALID (Task 4.2)

See Part A

Inclusion of CUWALID-based forecasts in GHACOF, IFRAH, and FEWS NET (Task 4.3)

See Part A

Regional extension workshops on WajihaCast and climate change (Task 4.2)

See Part A

Technical workshops on CUWALID for stakeholders (Task 4.2)

See Part A

Regional and international policy engagement workshops (Task 4.4)

See Part A

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (3)

Increased capacity to produce media content on climate adaptation (Kenya) (Task 4.1)

See Part A

Project videos/pamphlets (Task 6.1)

See Part A

Project website (Task 6.1)

See Part A

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

Data Management Plan (Task 5.1)

See Part A

Other (1)

Expanded climate/water data networks throughout HAD (Task 4.3)

See Part A

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (38)

Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning

Autori: Tim Busker, Bart van den Hurk, Hans de Moel, Marc van den Homberg, Chiem van Straaten, Rhoda A. Odongo, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004211

The uncertain role of rising atmospheric CO2 on global plant transpiration

Autori: Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano; Diego G. Miralles; Nate McDowell; Tim Brodribb; Fernando Domínguez-Castro; Ruby Leung; Akash Koppa
Pubblicato in: Earth-Science Reviews, Numero 2, 2022, ISSN 1872-6828
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104055

Characterizing the Response of Vegetation Cover to Water Limitation in Africa Using Geostationary Satellites

Autori: Çağlar Küçük; Sujan Koirala; Nuno Carvalhais; Diego G. Miralles; Markus Reichstein; Martin Jung
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 2, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002730

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Autori: E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 48/14, 2021, Pagina/e e2021GL093292, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292

A deep learning-based hybrid model of global terrestrial evaporation

Autori: Akash Koppa, Dominik Rains, Petra Hulsman, Rafael Poyatos & Diego G. Miralles
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 13, 2022, Pagina/e 1912, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29543-7

Integrating Behavioral Theories in Agent-Based Models for Agricultural Drought Risk Assessments

Autori: Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Marthe Wens, Toon Haer and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Water, Numero 3, 2021, Pagina/e 686329, ISSN 2624-9375
Editore: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.686329

A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands

Autori: Akash Koppa; Jessica Keune; Dave A. MacLeod; Michael Singer; Raquel Nieto; Luis Gimeno; Katerina Michaelides; Rafael Rosolem; George Otieno; Abebe Tadege; Diego G. Miralles
Pubblicato in: JGR Atmospheres, Numero 2, 2023, ISSN 2169-8996
Editore: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd038408

Drought impacts and community adaptation: Perspectives on the 2020–2023 drought in East Africa

Autori: Rhoda A. Odongo, Teun Schrieks, Ileen Streefkerk, Hans de Moel, Tim Busker, Toon Haer, David MacLeod, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Singer, Mohammed Assen, George Otieno, Anne F. Van Loon
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Numero 119, 2025, Pagina/e 105309, ISSN 2212-4209
Editore: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105309

Seasonal prediction of Horn of Africa long rains using machine learning: The pitfalls of preselecting correlated predictors

Autori: Victoria M. H. Deman; Akash Koppa; Willem Waegeman; David A. MacLeod; Michael Bliss Singer; Diego G. Miralles
Pubblicato in: FRONTIERS IN WATER, Numero 1, 2022, ISSN 2624-9375
Editore: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1053020

stoPET v1.0: A stochastic potential evapotranspiration generator for simulation of climate change impacts

Autori: Asfaw, Dagmawi Teklu; Singer, Michael Bliss; Rosolem, Rafael; MacLeod, David; Cuthbert, Mark; Miguitama, Edisson Quichimbo; Gaona, Manuel F. Rios; Michaelides, Katerina
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 21, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-557-2023

Climate hazards are threatening vulnerable migrants in Indian megacities

Autori: Vittal Hari, Suman Dharmasthala, Akash Koppa, Subhankar Karmakar, Rohini Kumar
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 11, 2021, Pagina/e 636–638, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01105-7

The Contribution of Transpiration to Precipitation Over African Watersheds

Autori: S. A. Te Wierik, J. Keune, D. G. Miralles, J. Gupta, Y. A. Artzy-Randrup, L. Gimeno, R. Nieto, L. H. Cammeraat
Pubblicato in: Water Resources Research, 2022, ISSN 1944-7973
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031721

Sustained Water Storage in Horn of Africa Drylands Dominated by Seasonal Rainfall Extremes

Autori: Markus Adloff; Michael Bliss Singer; David A. MacLeod; Katerina Michaelides; Nooshin Mehrnegar; Eleanor Hansford; Chris Funk; Daniel Mitchell
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 6, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099299

STORM v.2: A simple, stochastic rainfall model for exploring the impacts of climate and climate change at and near the land surface in gauged watersheds

Autori: Manuel F. Rios Gaona, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 17, 2025, Pagina/e 5387-5412, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-5387-2024

Locally Defined Seasonal Rainfall Characteristics within the Horn of Africa Drylands from Rain Gauge Observations

Autori: Katherine Cocking, Michael Bliss Singer, David MacLeod, Mark O. Cuthbert, Rafael Rosolem, Flavian Muthusi, Paolo Paron, Joyce Kimutai, Phillip Omondi, Ahmed Mohamed Hassan, Asaminew Teshome, Katerina Michaelides
Pubblicato in: Journal of Hydrometeorology, Numero 25, 2024, Pagina/e 1845-1861, ISSN 1525-755X
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-23-0228.1

Playing the long game: Anticipatory action based on seasonal forecasts

Autori: David MacLeod, Dominic R. Kniveton, Martin C. Todd
Pubblicato in: Climate Risk Management, Numero 34, 2021, Pagina/e 100375, ISSN 2212-0963
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100375

Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices

Autori: Rhoda A. Odongo; Hans De Moel; Anne F. Van Loon
Pubblicato in: EGU Sphere, Numero 1, 2022, ISSN 1680-7359
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1307

A unified framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using Lagrangian models

Autori: Keune, Jessica; Schumacher, Dominik L.; Miralles, Diego G.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 1, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-1875-2022

Sensitivity of Rainfall Extremes to Unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole Events

Autori: David MacLeod, Erik W. Kolstad, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105258

A holistic framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using a Lagrangian model

Autori: Jessica Keune; Dominik L. Schumacher; Diego G. Miralles
Pubblicato in: eISSN: 1991-9603, Numero 3, 2022, Pagina/e 1875–1898, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2021-180

Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains

Autori: Erik W. Kolstad, Douglas J. Parker, David A. MacLeod, Caroline M. Wainwright, Linda C. Hirons
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numero 150, 2024, Pagina/e 4550-4566, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4829

Climate services for the Greater Horn of Africa: interviews exploring practitioner perspectives from Kenya and beyond

Autori: Jacob M. Rigby; Michaelina Almaz Yohannis; Chris Preist; Michael Bliss Singer; Timothy M. Waema; Agnes N. Wausi; Katerina Michaelides
Pubblicato in: Climate and Development, Numero 13, 2022, ISSN 1756-5529
Editore: Taylor and Francis Inc.
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2022.2074350

STORM v.2: A simple, stochastic decision-support tool for exploring the impacts of climate and climate change at, and near the land surface in gauged watersheds

Autori: Manuel Felipe Rios Gaona; Katerina Michaelides; Michael Bliss Singer
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 1, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2023-98

Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems

Autori: Anne F. Van Loon, Sarra Kchouk, Alessia Matanó, Faranak Tootoonchi, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Khalid E. A. Hassaballah, Minchao Wu, Marthe L. K. Wens, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Elena Ridolfi, Riccardo Biella, Viorica Nagavciuc, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Ana Bastos, Louise Cavalcante, Franciska T. de Vries, Margaret Garcia, Johanna Mård, Ileen N. Streefkerk, Claudia Teutschbein, Roshanak Tootoonchi, Rub
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numero 24, 2024, Pagina/e 3173-3205, ISSN 1684-9981
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024

Incorporating Plant Access to Groundwater in Existing Global, Satellite-Based Evaporation Estimates

Autori: P. Hulsman, J. Keune, A. Koppa, J. Schellekens, D. G. Miralles
Pubblicato in: Water Resources Research, 2023, ISSN 1944-7973
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022wr033731

A coupled agent-based model to analyse human-drought feedbacks for agropastoralists in dryland regions

Autori: Ileen N. Streefkerk; Jens de Bruijn; Toon Haer; Anne F. Van Loon; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Marthe Wens; Khalid Hassaballah; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Water, Numero 2, 2023, ISSN 2624-9375
Editore: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1037971

Impact-based seasonal rainfall forecasting to trigger early action for droughts

Autori: Tim Busker, Hans de Moel, Bart van den Hurk, Jeroen Aerts
Pubblicato in: Science of the Total Environment, 2023, ISSN 1879-1026
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165506

Translating seasonal climate forecasts into water balance forecasts for decision making

Autori: David MacLeod; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Katerina Michaelides; Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw; Rafael Rosolem; Mark O. Cuthbert; Erick Otenyo; Zewdu Segele; Jacob M. Rigby; George Otieno; Khalid Hassaballah; Abebe Tadege; Michael Bliss Singer
Pubblicato in: PLOS Climate, Numero 20, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Editore: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000138

Hourly potential evapotranspiration at 0.1° resolution for the global land surface from 1981-present

Autori: Michael Bliss Singer, Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert, Diego G. Miralles, David MacLeod, Edisson Andres Quichimbo & Katerina Michaelides
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 8, 2021, Pagina/e 224, ISSN 1476-4687
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-021-01003-9

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Autori: Erik W. Kolstad; Dave MacLeod
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 1, 2022, ISSN 1432-0894
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

Reversed Holocene temperature–moisture relationship in the Horn of Africa

Autori: A. J. Baxter, D. Verschuren, F. Peterse, D. G. Miralles, C. M. Martin-Jones, A. Maitituerdi, T. Van der Meeren, M. Van Daele, C. S. Lane, G. H. Haug, D. O. Olago, J. S. Sinninghe Damsté
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 620, 2023, Pagina/e 336-343, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06272-5

DRYP 1.0: a parsimonious hydrological model of DRYland Partitioning of the water balance

Autori: E. Andrés Quichimbo, Michael Bliss Singer, Katerina Michaelides, Daniel E. J. Hobley, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 14/11, 2021, Pagina/e 6893-6917, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-6893-2021

Budyko-Based Long-Term Water and Energy Balance Closure in Global Watersheds From Earth Observations

Autori: Akash Koppa, Sarfaraz Alam, Diego G. Miralles, Mekonnen Gebremichael
Pubblicato in: Water Resources Research, Numero 57, 2021, Pagina/e e2020WR028658, ISSN 1944-7973
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020wr028658

Assessing the sensitivity of modelled water partitioning to global precipitation datasets in a data‐scarce dryland region

Autori: E. A. Quichimbo, M. B. Singer, K. Michaelides, R. Rosolem, D. A. MacLeod, D.T. Asfaw, M. O. Cuthbert
Pubblicato in: Hydrological Processes, Numero 37, 2024, ISSN 0885-6087
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15047

Observation-based assessment of secondary water effects on seasonal vegetation decay across Africa

Autori: Çağlar Küçük, Sujan Koirala, Nuno Carvalhais, Diego G. Miralles, Markus Reichstein, Martin Jung
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Big Data, 2022, ISSN 2624-909X
Editore: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fdata.2022.967477

Drought risk attitudes in pastoral and agro-pastoral communities in Kenya

Autori: Teun Schrieks, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, Numero 108, 2024, Pagina/e 102143, ISSN 2214-8043
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2023.102143

Assessing key behavioural theories of drought risk adaptation: Evidence from rural Kenya

Autori: Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Oliver V. Wasonga, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Risk Analysis, 2023, ISSN 1539-6924
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/risa.14266

Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa

Autori: Masilin Gudoshava, George Otieno, Eunice Koech, Herbert Misiani, Jemimah Gacheru Ongoma, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Calistus Wachana, Hussen Seid Endris, Anthony Mwanthi, Mary Kilavi, Emmah Mwangi, Andrew Colman, Douglas Parker, Joseph Nzau Mutemi, Paula Machio, Paulino Omoj Omay, Paul Ombai, Doreen Anande, Alfred Kondowe, Isaac Mugume, Prosper Ayabagabo, Houda Youssouf Houssein, Mahado Salah Wa
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, Numero 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: FrontiersIn
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1307535

Conference proceedings (1)

Towards User-Centred Climate Services: the Role of Human-Computer Interaction

Autori: Rigby, J. M, Preist, C
Pubblicato in: CHI '23: Proceedings of the 2023 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, 2023, ISBN 978-1-4503-9421-5
Editore: Association for Computing Machinery
DOI: 10.1145/3544548.3580663