DOWN2EARTH: Translation of climate information into multilevel decision support for social adaptation, policy development, and resilience to water scarcity in the Horn of Africa Drylands

Informacje na temat projektu

DOWN2EARTH

Identyfikator umowy o grant: 869550

DOI

10.3030/869550

Projekt został zamknięty

Data podpisania przez KE 20 Kwietnia 2020

Data rozpoczęcia 1 Września 2020

Data zakończenia 28 Lutego 2025

Finansowanie w ramach

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials

Koszt całkowity

€ 6 645 663,50

Wkład UE

€ 6 645 663,50

Koordynowany przez

CARDIFF UNIVERSITY
United Kingdom

CORDIS oferuje możliwość skorzystania z odnośników do publicznie dostępnych publikacji i rezultatów projektów realizowanych w ramach programów ramowych HORYZONT.

Odnośniki do rezultatów i publikacji związanych z poszczególnymi projektami 7PR, a także odnośniki do niektórych konkretnych kategorii wyników, takich jak zbiory danych i oprogramowanie, są dynamicznie pobierane z systemu OpenAIRE .

Rezultaty

Demonstrators, pilots, prototypes (7)

WajihaCast mobile phone app for water/food forecasts to end-users (Task 3.4)

See Part A

Communication and Dissemination Plan (Task 6.1)

See Part A

Training workshops for ICPAC staff on CUWALID (Task 4.2)

See Part A

Inclusion of CUWALID-based forecasts in GHACOF, IFRAH, and FEWS NET (Task 4.3)

See Part A

Regional extension workshops on WajihaCast and climate change (Task 4.2)

See Part A

Technical workshops on CUWALID for stakeholders (Task 4.2)

See Part A

Regional and international policy engagement workshops (Task 4.4)

See Part A

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (3)

Increased capacity to produce media content on climate adaptation (Kenya) (Task 4.1)

See Part A

Project videos/pamphlets (Task 6.1)

See Part A

Project website (Task 6.1)

See Part A

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

Data Management Plan (Task 5.1)

See Part A

Other (1)

Expanded climate/water data networks throughout HAD (Task 4.3)

See Part A

Publikacje

Peer reviewed articles (38)

Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning

Autorzy: Tim Busker, Bart van den Hurk, Hans de Moel, Marc van den Homberg, Chiem van Straaten, Rhoda A. Odongo, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Opublikowane w: Earth's Future, Numer 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Wydawca: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004211

The uncertain role of rising atmospheric CO2 on global plant transpiration

Autorzy: Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano; Diego G. Miralles; Nate McDowell; Tim Brodribb; Fernando Domínguez-Castro; Ruby Leung; Akash Koppa
Opublikowane w: Earth-Science Reviews, Numer 2, 2022, ISSN 1872-6828
Wydawca: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104055

Characterizing the Response of Vegetation Cover to Water Limitation in Africa Using Geostationary Satellites

Autorzy: Çağlar Küçük; Sujan Koirala; Nuno Carvalhais; Diego G. Miralles; Markus Reichstein; Martin Jung
Opublikowane w: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numer 2, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002730

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Autorzy: E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 48/14, 2021, Strona(/y) e2021GL093292, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292

A deep learning-based hybrid model of global terrestrial evaporation

Autorzy: Akash Koppa, Dominik Rains, Petra Hulsman, Rafael Poyatos & Diego G. Miralles
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, Numer 13, 2022, Strona(/y) 1912, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29543-7

Integrating Behavioral Theories in Agent-Based Models for Agricultural Drought Risk Assessments

Autorzy: Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Marthe Wens, Toon Haer and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Water, Numer 3, 2021, Strona(/y) 686329, ISSN 2624-9375
Wydawca: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.686329

A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands

Autorzy: Akash Koppa; Jessica Keune; Dave A. MacLeod; Michael Singer; Raquel Nieto; Luis Gimeno; Katerina Michaelides; Rafael Rosolem; George Otieno; Abebe Tadege; Diego G. Miralles
Opublikowane w: JGR Atmospheres, Numer 2, 2023, ISSN 2169-8996
Wydawca: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd038408

Drought impacts and community adaptation: Perspectives on the 2020–2023 drought in East Africa

Autorzy: Rhoda A. Odongo, Teun Schrieks, Ileen Streefkerk, Hans de Moel, Tim Busker, Toon Haer, David MacLeod, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Singer, Mohammed Assen, George Otieno, Anne F. Van Loon
Opublikowane w: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Numer 119, 2025, Strona(/y) 105309, ISSN 2212-4209
Wydawca: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105309

Seasonal prediction of Horn of Africa long rains using machine learning: The pitfalls of preselecting correlated predictors

Autorzy: Victoria M. H. Deman; Akash Koppa; Willem Waegeman; David A. MacLeod; Michael Bliss Singer; Diego G. Miralles
Opublikowane w: FRONTIERS IN WATER, Numer 1, 2022, ISSN 2624-9375
Wydawca: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1053020

stoPET v1.0: A stochastic potential evapotranspiration generator for simulation of climate change impacts

Autorzy: Asfaw, Dagmawi Teklu; Singer, Michael Bliss; Rosolem, Rafael; MacLeod, David; Cuthbert, Mark; Miguitama, Edisson Quichimbo; Gaona, Manuel F. Rios; Michaelides, Katerina
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 21, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-557-2023

Climate hazards are threatening vulnerable migrants in Indian megacities

Autorzy: Vittal Hari, Suman Dharmasthala, Akash Koppa, Subhankar Karmakar, Rohini Kumar
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, Numer 11, 2021, Strona(/y) 636–638, ISSN 1758-6798
Wydawca: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01105-7

The Contribution of Transpiration to Precipitation Over African Watersheds

Autorzy: S. A. Te Wierik, J. Keune, D. G. Miralles, J. Gupta, Y. A. Artzy-Randrup, L. Gimeno, R. Nieto, L. H. Cammeraat
Opublikowane w: Water Resources Research, 2022, ISSN 1944-7973
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031721

Sustained Water Storage in Horn of Africa Drylands Dominated by Seasonal Rainfall Extremes

Autorzy: Markus Adloff; Michael Bliss Singer; David A. MacLeod; Katerina Michaelides; Nooshin Mehrnegar; Eleanor Hansford; Chris Funk; Daniel Mitchell
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 6, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099299

STORM v.2: A simple, stochastic rainfall model for exploring the impacts of climate and climate change at and near the land surface in gauged watersheds

Autorzy: Manuel F. Rios Gaona, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 17, 2025, Strona(/y) 5387-5412, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-5387-2024

Locally Defined Seasonal Rainfall Characteristics within the Horn of Africa Drylands from Rain Gauge Observations

Autorzy: Katherine Cocking, Michael Bliss Singer, David MacLeod, Mark O. Cuthbert, Rafael Rosolem, Flavian Muthusi, Paolo Paron, Joyce Kimutai, Phillip Omondi, Ahmed Mohamed Hassan, Asaminew Teshome, Katerina Michaelides
Opublikowane w: Journal of Hydrometeorology, Numer 25, 2024, Strona(/y) 1845-1861, ISSN 1525-755X
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-23-0228.1

Playing the long game: Anticipatory action based on seasonal forecasts

Autorzy: David MacLeod, Dominic R. Kniveton, Martin C. Todd
Opublikowane w: Climate Risk Management, Numer 34, 2021, Strona(/y) 100375, ISSN 2212-0963
Wydawca: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100375

Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices

Autorzy: Rhoda A. Odongo; Hans De Moel; Anne F. Van Loon
Opublikowane w: EGU Sphere, Numer 1, 2022, ISSN 1680-7359
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1307

A unified framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using Lagrangian models

Autorzy: Keune, Jessica; Schumacher, Dominik L.; Miralles, Diego G.
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 1, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-1875-2022

Sensitivity of Rainfall Extremes to Unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole Events

Autorzy: David MacLeod, Erik W. Kolstad, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105258

A holistic framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using a Lagrangian model

Autorzy: Jessica Keune; Dominik L. Schumacher; Diego G. Miralles
Opublikowane w: eISSN: 1991-9603, Numer 3, 2022, Strona(/y) 1875–1898, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2021-180

Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains

Autorzy: Erik W. Kolstad, Douglas J. Parker, David A. MacLeod, Caroline M. Wainwright, Linda C. Hirons
Opublikowane w: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numer 150, 2024, Strona(/y) 4550-4566, ISSN 0035-9009
Wydawca: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4829

Climate services for the Greater Horn of Africa: interviews exploring practitioner perspectives from Kenya and beyond

Autorzy: Jacob M. Rigby; Michaelina Almaz Yohannis; Chris Preist; Michael Bliss Singer; Timothy M. Waema; Agnes N. Wausi; Katerina Michaelides
Opublikowane w: Climate and Development, Numer 13, 2022, ISSN 1756-5529
Wydawca: Taylor and Francis Inc.
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2022.2074350

STORM v.2: A simple, stochastic decision-support tool for exploring the impacts of climate and climate change at, and near the land surface in gauged watersheds

Autorzy: Manuel Felipe Rios Gaona; Katerina Michaelides; Michael Bliss Singer
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 1, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2023-98

Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems

Autorzy: Anne F. Van Loon, Sarra Kchouk, Alessia Matanó, Faranak Tootoonchi, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Khalid E. A. Hassaballah, Minchao Wu, Marthe L. K. Wens, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Elena Ridolfi, Riccardo Biella, Viorica Nagavciuc, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Ana Bastos, Louise Cavalcante, Franciska T. de Vries, Margaret Garcia, Johanna Mård, Ileen N. Streefkerk, Claudia Teutschbein, Roshanak Tootoonchi, Rub
Opublikowane w: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numer 24, 2024, Strona(/y) 3173-3205, ISSN 1684-9981
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024

Incorporating Plant Access to Groundwater in Existing Global, Satellite-Based Evaporation Estimates

Autorzy: P. Hulsman, J. Keune, A. Koppa, J. Schellekens, D. G. Miralles
Opublikowane w: Water Resources Research, 2023, ISSN 1944-7973
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022wr033731

A coupled agent-based model to analyse human-drought feedbacks for agropastoralists in dryland regions

Autorzy: Ileen N. Streefkerk; Jens de Bruijn; Toon Haer; Anne F. Van Loon; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Marthe Wens; Khalid Hassaballah; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Water, Numer 2, 2023, ISSN 2624-9375
Wydawca: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1037971

Impact-based seasonal rainfall forecasting to trigger early action for droughts

Autorzy: Tim Busker, Hans de Moel, Bart van den Hurk, Jeroen Aerts
Opublikowane w: Science of the Total Environment, 2023, ISSN 1879-1026
Wydawca: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165506

Translating seasonal climate forecasts into water balance forecasts for decision making

Autorzy: David MacLeod; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Katerina Michaelides; Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw; Rafael Rosolem; Mark O. Cuthbert; Erick Otenyo; Zewdu Segele; Jacob M. Rigby; George Otieno; Khalid Hassaballah; Abebe Tadege; Michael Bliss Singer
Opublikowane w: PLOS Climate, Numer 20, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Wydawca: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000138

Hourly potential evapotranspiration at 0.1° resolution for the global land surface from 1981-present

Autorzy: Michael Bliss Singer, Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert, Diego G. Miralles, David MacLeod, Edisson Andres Quichimbo & Katerina Michaelides
Opublikowane w: Nature, Numer 8, 2021, Strona(/y) 224, ISSN 1476-4687
Wydawca: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-021-01003-9

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Autorzy: Erik W. Kolstad; Dave MacLeod
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 1, 2022, ISSN 1432-0894
Wydawca: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

Reversed Holocene temperature–moisture relationship in the Horn of Africa

Autorzy: A. J. Baxter, D. Verschuren, F. Peterse, D. G. Miralles, C. M. Martin-Jones, A. Maitituerdi, T. Van der Meeren, M. Van Daele, C. S. Lane, G. H. Haug, D. O. Olago, J. S. Sinninghe Damsté
Opublikowane w: Nature, Numer 620, 2023, Strona(/y) 336-343, ISSN 0028-0836
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06272-5

DRYP 1.0: a parsimonious hydrological model of DRYland Partitioning of the water balance

Autorzy: E. Andrés Quichimbo, Michael Bliss Singer, Katerina Michaelides, Daniel E. J. Hobley, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 14/11, 2021, Strona(/y) 6893-6917, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-6893-2021

Budyko-Based Long-Term Water and Energy Balance Closure in Global Watersheds From Earth Observations

Autorzy: Akash Koppa, Sarfaraz Alam, Diego G. Miralles, Mekonnen Gebremichael
Opublikowane w: Water Resources Research, Numer 57, 2021, Strona(/y) e2020WR028658, ISSN 1944-7973
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020wr028658

Assessing the sensitivity of modelled water partitioning to global precipitation datasets in a data‐scarce dryland region

Autorzy: E. A. Quichimbo, M. B. Singer, K. Michaelides, R. Rosolem, D. A. MacLeod, D.T. Asfaw, M. O. Cuthbert
Opublikowane w: Hydrological Processes, Numer 37, 2024, ISSN 0885-6087
Wydawca: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15047

Observation-based assessment of secondary water effects on seasonal vegetation decay across Africa

Autorzy: Çağlar Küçük, Sujan Koirala, Nuno Carvalhais, Diego G. Miralles, Markus Reichstein, Martin Jung
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Big Data, 2022, ISSN 2624-909X
Wydawca: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fdata.2022.967477

Drought risk attitudes in pastoral and agro-pastoral communities in Kenya

Autorzy: Teun Schrieks, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Opublikowane w: Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, Numer 108, 2024, Strona(/y) 102143, ISSN 2214-8043
Wydawca: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2023.102143

Assessing key behavioural theories of drought risk adaptation: Evidence from rural Kenya

Autorzy: Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Oliver V. Wasonga, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Opublikowane w: Risk Analysis, 2023, ISSN 1539-6924
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/risa.14266

Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa

Autorzy: Masilin Gudoshava, George Otieno, Eunice Koech, Herbert Misiani, Jemimah Gacheru Ongoma, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Calistus Wachana, Hussen Seid Endris, Anthony Mwanthi, Mary Kilavi, Emmah Mwangi, Andrew Colman, Douglas Parker, Joseph Nzau Mutemi, Paula Machio, Paulino Omoj Omay, Paul Ombai, Doreen Anande, Alfred Kondowe, Isaac Mugume, Prosper Ayabagabo, Houda Youssouf Houssein, Mahado Salah Wa
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Climate, Numer 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Wydawca: FrontiersIn
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1307535

Conference proceedings (1)

Towards User-Centred Climate Services: the Role of Human-Computer Interaction

Autorzy: Rigby, J. M, Preist, C
Opublikowane w: CHI '23: Proceedings of the 2023 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, 2023, ISBN 978-1-4503-9421-5
Wydawca: Association for Computing Machinery
DOI: 10.1145/3544548.3580663