Periodic Reporting for period 3 - ArcticHubs (Global drivers, local consequences: Tools for global change adaptation and sustainable development of industrial and cultural Arctic “hubs”)
Okres sprawozdawczy: 2023-08-01 do 2024-07-31
The project’s specific objectives include:
1. Mapping global drivers and geopolitical tensions influencing Arctic industries (WP1).
2. Analyzing environmental, socioeconomic, and cultural impacts of industrial activities and predicting future effects due to climate change (WPs 2 & 3).
3. Providing tools for decision-makers to enhance communication with stakeholders and resolve land-use conflicts (WP4).
4. Creating scenarios and recommendations to foster cooperation and inform policies for sustainable regional development (WP5).
The solutions developed in ArcticHubs aim to increase the resilience of Arctic communities and livelihoods in the face of climate change and other global pressures by improving regional planning for the sustainable use of natural resources. Specifically, three core tools are being developed within the project: 1. Public Participatory Geographical Information Systems (PPGIS, Figure 1), 2. Guidelines for achieving a ‘social license to operate,’ and 3. The development of future scenarios to be applied in the Arctic.
PLACE OF FIGURE 1
Figure 1. Example of one page in the PPGIS questionnaire carried out in ArcticHubs (in Inari, Finland) where local people’s opinions of the impacts of tourism (where and what kind) were inquired.
PPGIS questionnaires have yield e.g. areas on the map where the respondents have indicated that no tourism should be allowed, and on the other hand, areas where respondents have indicated as suitable for tourism.
Future scenarios have been co-created in workshops preceded by surveys targeted at local, regional and national stakeholders. Scenarios have been finalized in local workshops. As an example in Inari, in Northern Finland international youth workshop was arranged to find out how young people in the Arctic see the future, and what are the threats and opportunities that the future brings.
Project results have been communicated primarily through webinars, newsletters, Twitter, and LinkedIn, as well as through explainer videos, reports, and publications available on the 'Project Results' page of the project homepage: https://projects.luke.fi/arctichubs/arctichubs-project-results/(odnośnik otworzy się w nowym oknie)
Geopolitical tensions have led to increased military investments in northern Europe, influencing the region's development. Businesses must prepare for threats such as trade wars, border closures, and security risks, including military tensions, uncontrolled migration, and environmental disasters like oil spills. The previously perceived safety of the region has been compromised.
ArcticHubs aimed to distinguish the environmental changes in the Arctic caused by economic activities from those due to climate change. By comparing Arctic and Alpine cases, a broader European perspective was achieved. The project introduced co-creation methods through dialogue with hub representatives and stakeholders, including indigenous groups. The DPSIR (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response) framework was applied effectively.
The research assessed the socioeconomic and cultural impacts of key industries—mining, fish farming, forestry, and tourism—revealing both positive and negative local effects. Stakeholder participation is essential to mitigate negative impacts, with a focus on addressing power imbalances and improving cross-sector communication. Future strategies should prioritize sustainable development, considering alternatives like degrowth, doughnut economics, and postcolonial justice to align with indigenous needs and planetary boundaries.
The concept of a social license to operate (SLO) is critical in addressing current challenges, especially in mining, aquaculture, and tourism. SLO involves addressing impacts on reindeer herding, Sami rights, and ensuring meaningful stakeholder dialogue beyond standard Corporate Social Responsibility practices. Although not widely applied, SLO could be key to balancing economic benefits with environmental protection and respecting local communities' rights.
ArcticHubs also focused on enhancing co-creation with local and Indigenous communities by developing participatory tools like PPGIS, RenGIS, CodGIS, Serious Gaming, and Unmanned Forestry Machine modules. These tools, designed based on stakeholder feedback, combine digital and traditional methods to improve dialogue and participation in rights and stakeholder processes. They have supported dynamic, mutual learning processes across ArcticHubs work packages, providing new insights into resolving conflicts over industrial impacts on the environment and traditional land use.
Involving local communities in decision-making is crucial for the future development of the Arctic. While global economic activities like mining, tourism, and aquaculture are welcomed for the opportunities they bring, ensuring social and environmental sustainability is increasingly important. Looking ahead to 2035, the region’s natural resources, indigeneity, and local identities are seen as key opportunities to attract both visitors and residents. However, threats such as land use conflicts, global corporate influence, rapid demographic changes, and climate change remain significant challenges.